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HomeMy WebLinkAbout03292021_City_Council_Work_Session_Packet__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Page 1 of 1 WORK SESSION City Council Meeting Agenda City of Galesburg, Illinois Erickson Conference Room March 29, 2021 Members of the public who would prefer to view Galesburg City Council meetings remotely, can view the council meetings on Comcast channel 7 or stream the meetings live on the City’s website. 5:30 p.m. Roll Call Pledge of Allegiance 21-4032 Approve Temporary Phase 4 Rules for Liquor License Establishments Discussion Water rate study and policies Public Comment Adjournment CITY OF GALESBURG COUNCIL LETTER MARCH 29, 2021 AGENDA ITEM:Temporary Phase 4 Rules for Liquor License Establishments SUMMARY RECOMMENDATION:The City Manager, City Clerk and City Attorney / Administrative Services Director recommend approval of the temporary rules. BACKGROUND:Last year, the City Council approved temporary outdoor liquor license protocol while the State was in Phase 4 of the Restore Illinois Plan. As the warm weather approaches, we would like to continue to allow outdoor operations while the State is still in Phase 4 and is restricting indoor capacity at restaurants and bars. These rules will be reevaluated if and when the State moves to Phase 5. BUDGET IMPACT: None SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS: 1. Temporary Phase 4 Rules for Liquor License Establishments ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________Prepared by: KRB Page 1 of 1 21-4032 2021 Temporary COVID-19 Liquor License Establishment Protocol The restrictions on outdoor operations and other regulations of the Galesburg Municipal Code and administrative regulations issued regulating restaurants and bars for outdoor dining service are hereby suspended and replaced with these rules during this Phase 4 period until November 1, 2021. 1.All guidelines set forth and attached by the Illinois Department of Commerce & Economic Opportunity must be followed unless otherwise outlined below. 2.Patrons are not permitted to take alcoholic beverages outside the designated outdoor area. 3.No smoking is allowed within 15 feet of the outdoor area. 4.All seated areas must be arranged so that tables allow for 6 feet between parties. 5.If serving alcohol, the outdoor area must be completely enclosed by a non-permanent barrier at least four feet high to serve as a defined area.Caution tape and snow fence are not acceptable. a.This barrier must not allow easy ingress/egress except at the entrance. b.If using City-owned property, and serving alcohol,a four foot fence must be used. 6.This temporary license shall be limited to that area owned, leased or rented by the license holder on which the premises is located, unless the City of Galesburg has allowed the sidewalk or City-owned parking lot to be used. 7.The hours of operation allowed will be 7 a.m. to 1 a.m., Sunday through Thursday; and 7 a.m. to 2 a.m. on Friday and Saturday. 8.The following rules shall apply for use of City-owned property: a.Maintain a three-foot wide unobstructed pedestrian walkway at all times on the sidewalk. b.A five-foot clear zone shall be maintained at a corner location of two public sidewalks. c.No applicant shall make any permanent installation on the sidewalk. d.Operate the outdoor dining so that it does not interfere with pedestrian traffic or vehicular traffic, or access into or from any building. e.If using City-owned tables, they should not be altered in any way. Any damage, including drilling holes, will be repaired by the City and charged to the business. 9.If using City-owned sidewalks or parking lots, the City Clerk’s office must receive a copy of your certificate of liability insurance listing the City as an additional insured. 10.Excessive noise is prohibited. 11.The establishment and employees must regularly monitor the outdoor area for trash and debris generated as part of your outdoor operation and take immediate action to clean up and remove any of these items from the outside area or the sidewalk near your premises. 12.Any outdoor dining area found to be in violation of any State,County,or City requirements shall have immediate modifications made to achieve compliance.If proper changes cannot be made,the seating area shall be removed. Dated March 29, 2021 Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability www.newgenstrategies.net 911-A Commerce Road Annapolis, MD 21401 Phone: (410) 266-9101 March 18, 2021 Wayne E. Carl, P.E. Director of Public Works City of Galesburg 55 W Tompkins St. Galesburg, IL 61401 Subject: Water Cost of Service and Rate Study Final Report Dear Mr. Carl: NewGen Strategies and Solutions, LLC (NewGen) is pleased to submit to the City of Galesburg this final report detailing our completed Water Cost of Service and Rate Study and including revisions based on feedback from the City Council work session held on February 22, 2021. This report details the results of our analysis of the forecasted costs of providing water service to the City’s customers and our recommendations for recovering these costs over the next five years. The study provides a number of rate structure alternatives that will maintain the financial health and stability of the City’s water operations while addressing service affordability for the City’s customers. We appreciate the opportunity to provide our professional services to the City and would like to express our sincere appreciation to City staff. The dedication and assistance provided by City staff was essential to the completion of this study. It has been a distinct pleasure to work with the City of Galesburg. Should you require additional information regarding the enclosed report, please contact me at 443-951- 4207 or via e-mail at ecallocchia@newgenstrategies.net. Very truly yours, Eric Callocchia Executive Consultant NewGen Strategies and Solutions, LLC Table of Contents Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table of Contents Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................ 1 Section 1 Project Background and Scope ............................................................................................. 5 Study Background ............................................................................................................................... 5 Study Objectives and Guiding Principles ............................................................................................ 6 Study Approach .................................................................................................................................. 6 Fiscal Year ........................................................................................................................................... 7 Section 2 Water System Revenue Requirements ................................................................................. 9 Major Study Assumptions .................................................................................................................. 9 Operating Budget Escalation Factors ....................................................................................... 9 Minimum Required Water Fund Cash Balance ...................................................................... 10 Operating and Maintenance Expenses ............................................................................................. 10 Existing Debt Obligations .................................................................................................................. 11 Capital Improvement Plan ................................................................................................................ 11 New Total Debt Service Projections ....................................................................................... 14 Miscellaneous Non-Rate Revenues ........................................................................................ 15 Revenue Requirement Projection .................................................................................................... 18 Section 3 Customers and Consumption ............................................................................................. 19 Retail Customers and Consumption ................................................................................................. 19 Wholesale Customers ....................................................................................................................... 21 Other Retail Water Revenue Sources ............................................................................................... 22 Bulk Water Usage ................................................................................................................... 22 Master Meter ......................................................................................................................... 22 Fire Protection Customers ................................................................................................................ 22 Total Revenue Breakdown ............................................................................................................... 23 Section 4 Financial Plan and Recommended Rates ............................................................................ 24 Financial Projections Under Current Rates ...................................................................................... 24 FY 2020 Retail Rates ............................................................................................................... 24 FY 2020 Private Fire Protection Rates .................................................................................... 25 FY 2020 Wholesale Rates ....................................................................................................... 25 Cash Flow and Fund Balance Projections Under Current Rates ............................................ 25 Residential Customer Affordability ........................................................................................ 28 Recommended Revenue Increases .................................................................................................. 30 Projected Rates with No Change in Rate Structure ............................................................... 30 Recommended Rate Structure Alternatives ..................................................................................... 34 Fire Protection Revenue Increases and Rate Alternative ...................................................... 34 Retail and Wholesale Rate Alternative Scenarios .................................................................. 40 Wholesale Rates under Alternative Structures ...................................................................... 40 Facility Fee Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee ..................................................................... 41 Facility Fee Alternative 2: Per Unit Facility Fee ...................................................................... 44 CCF Rate Alternative 1: 4 CCF Allowance per Account .......................................................... 47 Table of Contents ii Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times CCF Rate Alternative 2: Per Unit Facility Fee and 4 CCF Allowance per Unit ......................... 49 Cash Flow Under Recommended Revenue Increases ...................................................................... 51 Section 5 Customer Affordability Impacts and Bill Comparisons ........................................................ 54 Residential Customer Affordability Impact ...................................................................................... 54 Regional Bill Comparison .................................................................................................................. 57 Section 6 Long Term Financial Projections......................................................................................... 58 Section 7 Findings and Recommendations ........................................................................................ 60 List of Tables and Exhibits Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times List of Tables and Exhibits Table E-1 Water Fund Net Revenue Requirement Projection ...................................................................... 1 Exhibit E-2 Expenses vs. Revenues Under Current FY 2020 Rates ................................................................ 2 Exhibit E-3 Projected Water Fund Cash Balance Projection Under Current FY 2020 Rates ......................... 2 Table E-4 Recommended Revenue Increases ............................................................................................... 3 Table 4-33 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – Median Residential Customer (5/8” Meter, 1 Unit, 4 CCF) ........................................................................................................................................ 4 Table 2-1 Operating Budget Escalation Factors ............................................................................................ 9 Table 2-2 Minimum Water Fund Cash Balance Recommendation ............................................................. 10 Table 2-3 Projected Operating and Maintenance Expenses ....................................................................... 11 Table 2-4 Current Debt Service Obligations by Issue .................................................................................. 11 Table 2-5 FY 2020 – FY 2025 Capital Projects ............................................................................................. 12 Exhibit 2-6 Ten-Year Capital Plan Summary by Funding Source ................................................................. 13 Table 2-7 FY 2020 – FY 2030 Debt Financed Capital Projects ..................................................................... 13 Exhibit 2-8 Total Water Debt Service Projections ....................................................................................... 14 Table 2-9 Projected Debt Service Coverage Ratio – Current and Recommended Rates ............................ 15 Table 2-10 Projected Sanitary District Billing Cost ...................................................................................... 16 Table 2-11 Water System Non-Rate Revenues ........................................................................................... 17 Table 2-12 Water Fund Net Revenue Requirement Projection .................................................................. 18 Table 3-1 FY 2019 Retail Customer Meters ................................................................................................ 20 Table 3-2 FY 2019 Retail Customer Usage by Customer Type (CCF) ........................................................... 20 Exhibit 3-3 Percent Breakdown of FY 2019 Usage (Inside City) .................................................................. 21 Table 3-4 FY 2019 Wholesale Customer Meters and Usage ....................................................................... 22 Table 3-5 FY 2019 Inside City Fireline Accounts ......................................................................................... 23 Exhibit 3-6 FY 2019 Revenue Percentage Breakdown ................................................................................ 23 Table 4-1 FY 2020 Retail Rates – Monthly Facility Fees .............................................................................. 24 Table 4-2 FY 2020 Retail Rates – Usage Rate per CCF................................................................................. 24 Table 4-3 FY 2020 Fire Protection Fees ....................................................................................................... 25 Table 4-4 FY 2020 Wholesale Facility Fees and Usage Rate ....................................................................... 25 Exhibit 4-5 Expenses vs. Revenues Under Current FY 2020 Rates .............................................................. 26 Exhibit 4-6 Projected Water Fund Cash Balance Projection Under Current FY 2020 Rates ....................... 27 Exhibit 4-7 – Historical Cost Increases, 2000 - 2018 ................................................................................... 28 Exhibit 4-8 – Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – FY 2020 Rates ............................................... 29 Table 4-9 Recommended Revenue Increases ............................................................................................. 30 Table 4-10 Monthly Fireline Rates – No Rate Structure Change ................................................................ 31 Table 4-11 Projected Facility Fees – No Rate Structure Change ................................................................. 31 Table 4-12 Projected CCF Rates .................................................................................................................. 33 Table 4-13 FY 2020 Wholesale Facility Fees and Usage Rate ..................................................................... 33 Table 4-14 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – No Rate Structure Change .............................................. 33 Exhibit 4-15 The Maine Curve ..................................................................................................................... 36 Table 4-16 FY 2020 Fire Protection Meter Equivalent Calculation ............................................................. 37 Table 4-17 Fire Protection Meter Equivalent Phase-In Plan ....................................................................... 37 Table 4-18 Fire Protection Cost Allocation Calculation .............................................................................. 38 Table 4-19 Recommended Monthly Fireline Rates..................................................................................... 39 Table 4-20 Projected Facility Fees – Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee ................................................... 41 List of Tables and Exhibits iv Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table 4-21 Projected CCF Rates – Facility Fee Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee.................................... 42 Table 4-22 Wholesale Facility Fees and Usage Rates – Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee ...................... 42 Table 4-23 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – Facility Fee Alternative 1 ................................................. 43 Table 4-24 FY 2019 Retail Customer Meters vs Units ................................................................................. 44 Table 4-25 Facility Fee Alternative 2: Per Unit Facility Fees – 5/8, 3/4 Meter Size .................................... 45 Table 4-26 Projected CCF Rates – Alternative 2A ....................................................................................... 46 Table 4-27 Projected Wholesale Facility Fees and CCF Rates – Alternative 2A .......................................... 46 Table 4-28 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – Facility Fee Alternative 2 ................................................. 46 Table 4-29 FY 2021 Estimated Retail Customer Usage – 4 CCF Allowance per Account ............................ 48 Table 4-30 Projected CCF Rates under CCF Rate Alternative 1: 4 CCF Allowance per Account ................. 48 Table 4-31 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – CCF Rate Alternative 1 .................................................... 48 Table 4-32 FY 2021 Estimated Retail Customer Usage – 4 CCF Allowance per Unit .................................. 50 Table 4-33 CCF Rates Alternative 2: 4 CCF Allowance per Unit .................................................................. 50 Table 4-34 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – CCF Rate Alternative 2 .................................................... 51 Exhibit 4-35 Expenses vs. Revenues Under Recommended Rate Increases ............................................... 52 Exhibit 4-36 Projected Water Utility Cash Balance Under Recommended Rates ...................................... 53 Exhibit 5-1 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – FY 2020 Rates .................................................. 54 Exhibit 5-2 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – FY 2021 Facility Fee Alternative 1.................... 55 Exhibit 5-3 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – FY 2021 Facility Fee Alternative 2.................... 55 Exhibit 5-4 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – CCF Rate Alternative 1 ..................................... 56 Exhibit 5-5 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – CCF Rate Alternative 2 ..................................... 56 Exhibit 5-6 Sample Customer Bill, 5/8” Meter, 1 Unit, 4 CCF Monthly Usage ............................................ 57 Table 6-1 Ten-Year Projected Revenue Increases....................................................................................... 58 Exhibit 6-2 Ten-Year Expense vs. Revenue Projection ................................................................................ 58 Exhibit 6-3 Ten-Year Cash Balance Projection ............................................................................................ 59 Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This section of the report summarized the major findings and proposed results of the study. Projected Water System Revenue Requirement The revenue requirement of the City’s water system is the total of the projected Operating, Cash Capital, and Debt Service (existing and future) costs assuming conservative escalation of the FY 2021 budget and financing of the City’s Capital improvement plan. The projected revenue requirement assumes that the City will spend an average of $2.6 million on cash capital spending each year and issue $12.2 million in new low interest IEPA loan debt over the ten year projection period. Miscellaneous non-rate revenues assume a reduction in Delinquent Turn On fees to $90,000 per year and a $50,000 increase in the fees charged to the Galesburg Sanitary District, both beginning in FY 2022. Table E-1 Water Fund Net Revenue Requirement Projection FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Operating Expenses $4,615,430 $4,656,735 $4,754,253 $4,853,930 $4,955,816 $5,059,961 Cash Funded Capital 3,403,694 1,360,000 2,220,000 2,755,000 505,000 2,010,000 Existing Debt Service 1,380,749 1,371,149 1,380,199 1,378,699 1,376,099 1,379,724 New Debt Service - - - 134,431 201,647 403,294 Total Rev. Req. $9,399,873 $7,387,884 $8,354,453 $9,122,061 $7,038,562 $8,852,979 Less: Misc. Revenues (550,750) (446,600) (496,600) (496,600) (496,600) (496,600) Net Rev. Req. $8,849,123 $6,941,284 $7,857,853 $8,625,461 $6,541,962 $8,356,379 Recommended Revenue Increases Given the revenue requirement projection detailed above and assuming the City does not increase any water rates or fees from their FY 2020 level, the following exhibits show that revenues would not be able to cover system expenses in the following five fiscal years and would nearly exhaust the City’s Water Fund balance in FY 2026. List of Tables and Exhibits 2 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Exhibit E-2 Expenses vs. Revenues Under Current FY 2020 Rates Exhibit E-3 Projected Water Fund Cash Balance Projection Under Current FY 2020 Rates NewGen’s study identified revenue increases for each of the City’s water rates and fees that would sustain the City’s water system under the assumed cost increases. $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025Millions Operating Expenses Existing Debt Service New Debt Service Cash Funded Capital Projects Total Revenues Under FY 2020 Rates Table of Contents Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 3 Table E-4 Recommended Revenue Increases FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Cash Flow Shortfall at FY 2020 Revenues ($445,511) ($1,362,080) ($2,129,688) ($46,189) ($1,860,606) EOY Cash Balance at FY 2020 Revenues $6,571,142 $5,209,063 $3,079,375 $3,033,185 $1,172,579 Recommended Revenue Increases Fire Protection Fees 1 36.03% 76.89% 47.97% 32.43% 24.50% Retail Facility Fees 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Retail Usage rates per CCF 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Wholesale Facility Fees 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Wholesale Usage rates per CCF 2 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Cash Flow at Recommended Revenues ($434,203) ($1,107,933) ($1,622,477) $721,144 ($825,853) EOY Cash at Recommended Revenues $6,582,451 $5,474,517 $3,852,041 $4,573,185 $3,747,331 Fire protection fees are calculated independently of other retail and wholesale charges using industry standard methodologies and are phased on over the five-year period. Fire protection revenue increases are directly related to changes in the system’s revenue requirement, and therefore vary from year to year. Other rates and fees are calculated to smooth out revenue increases over the projection period. Rate Alternatives and Customer Impacts NewGen developed several potential changes to the structure of the City’s Retail and Wholesale Facility Fees and per CCR rates. Each alternative will generate the same amount of revenue as shown in Table E- 4. The alternative rate structures have significant impacts on the distribution of City water costs among its customers, however in total revenues remain consistent with the study’s revenue increase plan in Table E-4. The changes to the City’s various retail water rate and fee structures that were developed during the study are as follows:  Facility Fee Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee: While maintaining the existing meter size based Facility Fees, reduce the 5/8, 3/4 inch meter fee to $8.00 per month, adjust all other Facility Fees and per CCF rates accordingly.  Facility Fee Alternative 2: Change to a per Unit Facility Fee: Change the City’s Facility Fee structure to a per unit fee rather than a meter size based fee. Per CCF rates are adjusted as per Table 4-9 with no change in structure. All revenue from Facility Fees and Unit rates remains the same.  CCF Rate Alternative 1: Change the City’s per CCF Rate structure to include 4 CCF per account for each customer and charge a per CCF rate for usage above 4 CCF per account. 1 Fire protection fees are independently developed based on a separate cost of service analysis. The FY 2021 revenue increase represents an alignment of the City’s private fire protection fees with industry standards. 2 Wholesale CCF rate increases vary under different alternatives rate structures. Table 4-9 assumes the City maintain the current rate structure. List of Tables and Exhibits 4 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times  CCF Rate Alternative 2: Change the City’s per CCF Rate structure to include 4 CCF per unit for each customer and charge a per CCF rate for usage above 4 CCF per unit. This change is only consistent when in addition to Facility Fee Alternative 2. Otherwise, the City would be inconsistent in the manner in which it applies its fixed and variable fees. That is, CCF Rate Alternative 2 assumes the adoption of Facility Fee Alternative 2. The impact on the City’s median residential customer of each of the alternatives is as follows: Table 4-33 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – Median Residential Customer (5/8” Meter, 1 Unit, 4 CCF) Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Current Rate Structure $25.91 $25.91 $26.75 $27.62 $28.52 $29.45 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $0.00 $0.84 $0.87 $0.90 $0.93 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change 0.0% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% Facility Fee Alt. 1 $25.91 $22.00 $22.72 $23.45 $24.22 $25.00 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($3.91) $0.72 $0.74 $0.76 $0.79 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change (-15.1%) 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% Facility Fee Alt. 2 $25.91 $24.45 $25.24 $26.06 $26.91 $27.78 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($1.46) $0.79 $0.82 $0.85 $0.87 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change (-5.6%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% CCF Alt. 1 $25.91 $15.91 $16.43 $16.96 $17.51 $18.08 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($10.00) $0.52 $0.53 $0.55 $0.57 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change (-38.6%) 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% CCF Alt. 2 $25.91 $14.45 $14.92 $15.40 $15.90 $16.42 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($11.46) $0.47 $0.48 $0.50 $0.52 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change (-44.2%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% The study found that the City’s water utility is well managed both operationally and financially. Moderate rate increases are needed to support future cost increases. NewGen identified several rate alternatives that reduce the cost burden on the City’s low income customers while maintaining revenue sufficiency for the system as a whole. Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Section 1 PROJECT BACKGROUND AND SCOPE Study Background The City of Galesburg (the City) is located on Interstate 74 in Northwest Illinois and is approximately 50 miles east of the Mississippi River. The Illinois General Assembly organized the City under the provisions of an “Act to Incorporate the City of Galesburg" on February 14, 1857. The City is a home rule municipality and has operated under the Council-Manager form of government since 1956. The City Council is comprised of seven Councilmembers and a Mayor. The City of Galesburg was chartered for the purpose of providing its residents with several municipal services, including the provision of clean water. The City obtains its groundwater from an aquifer near Oquawka, Illinois, which is located along the Mississippi River. Utilizing a collector well and three gravel- pack wells, the water is pumped approximately 32 miles to Galesburg through 36 inch and 42 inch transmission lines. There are nine million gallons of storage capacity at the Galesburg Water Plant and two million gallons of overhead storage in three water towers throughout the City. The average daily water pumpage is approximately six million gallons with a peak demand of nine and a half million gallons. The water is pumped through a distribution system of approximately 210 miles of water mains. The distribution system also consists of approximately 1,400 fire hydrants. The City serves approximately 12,800 water users with retail, wholesale, and fire protection service. The City engaged NewGen Strategies and Solutions, LLC (NewGen) complete a water rate study with the following general objectives:  Develop a long-term financial plan that maintains the financial health of the City’s Water Enterprise Fund while funding the appropriate level of capital investment in the water system.  Update the rates and fees charged to the City’s customers, including inside city, outside city, and wholesale rates customers based on defensible industry standards.  Examine the agreements between the City and its wholesale customers and identify any opportunities to update the rate setting methodology or policies therein.  Examine the policies regarding the charges to multi-unit customers (including mobile home parks), identify the impacts of modifying these policies, and recommend changes, if appropriate.  Review the methodology of the administrative fee charged to the Galesburg Sanitary District and recommend any appropriate changes. This report details the data and methodologies used to develop recommended rates that accomplish the above stated objectives under the City’s current rate structure and rate structure alternatives. Section 1 6 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Study Objectives and Guiding Principles The following principles were used to guide the rate study and were developed with input from City staff:  The City’s water utility must be financially self-supporting. It is assumed that the cost of operating and maintaining the water system will be supported by the water fees and charges collected from customers with no support or subsidy from other City revenues.  The City’s water rates shall be sufficient to ensure the funding of an appropriate level of system rehabilitation and replacement. It is assumed that the City will continually reinvest in the water system to replace assets as they reach the end of their useful lives.  The City shall maintain appropriate reserves to provide for contingencies and unplanned expenses.  The City’s water rates shall be kept as low as possible over time. While it is possible to keep rates low for a period of time by not investing sufficiently in the maintenance of the water system, eventually the system will deteriorate and require substantial investments leading to the need for significant and immediate rate increases.  The City’s water service should be affordable for all customers, especially the City’s low income customers. The above stated guiding principles create conflicting goals and objectives for the City’s system. Increasing asset investment creates upward pressure on the City’s water rates. This creates affordability concerns, and may cause customers to reduce their water usage. The City’s overall costs of providing water service are largely fixed (i.e. they do not vary substantially with changes in water demand). Any reduced demand creates upward pressure on rates, which creates a cycle of higher customer bills and additional affordability concerns. A carefully crafted financial plan and rate structure helps mitigate these impacts. The results of this study maintain a balance between the increasing costs to run the City’s water infrastructure and the need to maintain affordable service for City customers. Study Approach NewGen’s approach to developing sustainable water rates is governed by the view that the ideal rate structure must satisfy seven criteria:  Equity requires that rates and charges result in no undue discrimination among customers or customer classes. Although equity is normally related to the cost of service, it should be realized that customer acceptance will center on preconceived notions of equity and fairness.  Efficiency refers to the ability of the rate schedule to encourage wise use of the resources devoted to the services that the utility provides. Efficiency considerations require that:  Rates should reflect the cost of providing service.  Rates should be similar for customers or customer classes served under similar conditions.  Customers should be able to understand the rate schedules so that they can make rational decisions regarding their purchase of water service.  Revenue Adequacy is the most fundamental of all considerations. Revenue Adequacy recognizes that it is necessary that rates produce revenues sufficient to operate the system even if there are changes in demand for service.  Affordability means that the recommended rates must result in bills that are realistically within the ability of customers to pay. Project Background and Scope Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 7  Sustainability means that the objective of the rate methodology is to keep rates low over time, not to merely keep them low for the short-term by omitting or deferring needed expenses such as maintenance and funding of necessary cash reserves.  Administrative Simplicity recognizes that limits must be placed on the complexity of the rate schedules to keep them easy to administer and understandable to the public.  Legal and Regulatory Compliance is a prime consideration because rate structures must incorporate applicable local, state, and federal statutes, as well and any interjurisdictional agreements. The application of these criteria should recognize that a rate schedule is a form of public policy statement, setting forth those values that the City considers important. Rate structures must be tailored to community perceptions, realities, and values. Fiscal Year The City operates on a fiscal year beginning January 1st and ending on December 31st each year. All years shown in this report refer to the fiscal year ending that year. For example, 2021 refers to the fiscal year beginning January 1, 2021 and ending December 31, 2021. Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Section 2 WATER SYSTEM REVENUE REQUIREMENTS The first step of the rate study is to compile the costs of owning and operating the City’s water utility system. The three cost components of the City’s water system are: Operating and Maintenance, Capital Improvements, and Debt Service (both existing and future). These three cost components total to the amount needed each year to run the water system. While the study is based on the latest available actual data, there are several major assumptions that are included in the study’s cost projections. Major Study Assumptions In order to project the operating, debt service, and capital expenses of the City’s water system, several major assumptions must be made. NewGen’s assumptions are conservative to ensure that the study’s recommendations reflect a reasonable projection of the costs of the City’s system. Operating Budget Escalation Factors NewGen’s cost projections are based on the latest available actual and budgeted data. In order to reasonably project future costs, escalation and inflation factors must be applied to the City’s budget line items. NewGen’s financial model includes the following operating and maintenance budget line item inflation factors in Table 2-1. NewGen used the most up to date historical data related to the three items projected to increase in the future:  United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Cost Index (ECI) current annualized increase in labor costs as of June 2020.  United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index – Urban (CPI-U) at the end of 2019.  Engineer News Record (ENR) Materials Cost Index (MCI) averages the increased cost of materials over the past 30 years. Table 2-1 Operating Budget Escalation Factors Change Per Year Source Personnel Services 2.60% BLS ECI – June 2020 Contractual Services 1.50% ENR CPI – December 2019 Commodities 2.00% ENR MCI 30 Year Average Other Charges 0.00% None On average, NewGen projects that the Water utility operating budget will increase 2.1% per year over the five-year projection period. Section 2 10 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Minimum Required Water Fund Cash Balance Maintaining a minimum Water Fund cash balance is an essential component of the proper financial management of the City’s water system. The wise management of resources and maintenance of a reasonable cash balance allows the City to be responsive to emergencies and to plan for long term sustainability. As a part of the water rate study, NewGen developed a formal policy regarding the minimum fund balance reserves that are appropriate for the City’s water utility fund. There are two components to the study’s recommended minimum cash balance:  Operating Reserve – The minimum operating reserve balance shall be 90 days of each year’s annual Operating and Maintenance (O&M) expenses (less debt service and depreciation).  Capital Reserve – The minimum capital reserve balance shall be one year of system asset depreciation, estimated to be $1,043,128 in FY 2021. This value is arrived at by taking the FY 2021 budgeted depreciation of $975,235 and adding $67,893, which is one fiftieth (1/50) of the estimated FY 2020 capital investment of $3,394,632. This assumes an average useful life of 50 years for the City’s water infrastructure. As the City continues to invest in the water system, this annual depreciation of the system will increase, which will increase the capital reserve policy minimum. The minimum reserve projection is shown below in Table 2-2. Table 2-2 Minimum Water Fund Cash Balance Recommendation FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Operating Reserve $506,537 $524,044 $537,669 $551,649 $565,992 $580,707 Capital Reserve 1,124,930 1,043,309 1,070,509 1,154,909 1,230,009 1,300,109 Total Minimum Cash Balance $1,631,467 $1,567,353 $1,608,178 $1,706,558 $1,796,000 $1,880,816 The minimum cash balance policy drives the financial plan detailed in this report. Rates and fees are set in order to cover the operating, debt service, and capital needs of the system, as well as to maintain the minimum cash balance shown above. If at any time the projected rates in a given year would not sustain the minimum cash balance in the next fiscal year, it is assumed that rates must be increased to achieve the minimum required balance. Operating and Maintenance Expenses The operating and maintenance (O&M) expenses of the City’s water system are organized into several categories:  Personnel Services  Contractual Services  Commodities  Other Charges It should be noted that the rate study is predicated on the cash basis of utility rate setting. The City uses an operating budget structure that includes system depreciation. While recording and accounting for system depreciation is an important exercise, the study accounts for the annual cash outlays that are planned for the system. Therefore, while we exclude depreciation from the O&M costs, we include cash outlays and new debt service in the City’s Capital Improvement Plan (CIP). The study ensures that the City will generate enough revenues each year to fund the actual investments needed in the system, which typically exceed the annual depreciation of existing assets. Water System Revenue Requirements Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 11 The latest available O&M budget is the FY 2021 requested budget. The FY 2021 requested operating budget totals about $4.65 million as shown in Table 2-3 below. Table 2-3 Projected Operating and Maintenance Expenses Actual FY 2019 Adopted FY 2020 Request FY 2021 Projected FY 2022 Projected FY 2023 Projected FY 2024 Projected FY 2025 Personnel Services $1,975,368 $2,054,290 $2,125,290 $2,180,548 $2,237,242 $2,295,410 $2,355,091 Contractual Services 1,919,768 1,625,845 1,645,940 1,670,629 1,695,689 1,721,124 1,746,941 Commodities 630,766 928,080 878,590 896,162 914,085 932,367 951,014 Other Charges 116,262 7,215 6,915 6,915 6,915 6,915 6,915 Total O&M Expenses $4,642,164 $4,615,430 $4,656,735 $4,754,253 $4,853,930 $4,955,816 $5,059,961 % Change (-0.6%) 0.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% The rates and fees developed in this study are sufficient to cover the increasing operating and maintenance costs of the water utility. Existing Debt Obligations From time to time, the City issues debt to fund a short term capital financing needs. As of 2020, the City is obligated to pay three outstanding debt issues – Series 2015 (GO Refunding Bonds), Series 2017 (GO Refunding Bonds, and a 2009 IEPA loan. Table 2-4 shows the projected loan payments over the five-year study planning period. Table 2-4 Current Debt Service Obligations by Issue FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 GO Refunding Bonds Series 2015 $622,013 $619,413 $626,513 $623,013 $624,213 $624,963 GO Refunding Series 2017 717,331 710,331 712,281 714,281 710,481 713,356 2009 IEPA 41,406 41,406 41,406 41,406 41,406 41,406 Total Annual Debt Service $1,380,749 $1,371,149 $1,380,199 $1,378,699 $1,376,099 $1,379,724 The 2009 IEPA loan will be paid off in FY 2031. The Series 2015 GO bonds will be paid off in FY 2032. The Series 2017 GO bonds will be paid off in FY 2033. The rates and fees developed in this report are sufficient to fund the above stated debt obligations now and through their maturities. Capital Improvement Plan A major component of owning a sustainable water utility is the planning for the rehabilitation and replacement of the City’s assets. The City’s Capital Improvement Plan (CIP) is a detailed list of projects including when they are planned to be completed and how much they are projected to cost. NewGen’s study includes funding for all CIP projects. The City can either pay cash for projects as they are completed (referred to as PAYGO funding), or the City may issue new debt to finance projects over a long term, typically 20 to 30 years. Table 2-5 details the projects included in the City’s current CIP, developed by City Section 2 12 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times staff. The three highlighted projects are assumed to be financed with low interest Illinois Environmental Protection Agency (IEPA) loans. All other projects are assumed to be PAYGO funded – that is, the City will outlay cash for those projects in the year in which they are planned without taking on any additional debt. Table 2-5 FY 2020 – FY 2025 Capital Projects Project Cost Year Financing Filter Room Rehab Treatment Plant $958,000 FY 2020 PAYGO Service Vehicle Replacement 20,000 FY 2020 PAYGO Service Vehicle Replacement 20,000 FY 2020 PAYGO Gravel Pack #5 1,088,214 FY 2020 PAYGO Boat And Motor 28,480 FY 2020 PAYGO Roadway Reconstruction (Oquawka) 100,000 FY 2020 PAYGO S. Seminary Street 879,000 FY 2020 PAYGO Street Division Building 85,000 FY 2020 PAYGO Historian Plus Software Upgrade 25,000 FY 2020 PAYGO Gravel Pack Well #6 1,200,000 FY 2021 PAYGO Equipment Purchase 50,000 FY 2021 PAYGO Pump Rehab 60,000 FY 2021 PAYGO Storage Building 70,000 FY 2021 PAYGO Frank Street Water Main 120,000 FY 2021 PAYGO Maple Ave. Water Main 400,000 FY 2022 PAYGO Filter Room Repair 200,000 FY 2022 PAYGO Aeration/Mixing Project 900,000 FY 2022 PAYGO Inspection Of 5 Miles Pipeline 450,000 FY 2022 PAYGO Equipment Purchases 110,000 FY 2022 PAYGO Cherry St. Water Main 100,000 FY 2022 PAYGO New Automatic Meters 3,000,000 FY 2022 IEPA Loan Enterprise Ave. Water Main 200,000 FY 2023 PAYGO Losey St. Water Main 600,000 FY 2023 PAYGO Equipment Purchases 50,000 FY 2023 PAYGO Co. Hwy 14 Water Main 200,000 FY 2023 PAYGO Pump Room Reconstruction (Oquawka) 1,300,000 FY 2023 PAYGO Parking Lot Rehab - Main Plant 100,000 FY 2023 PAYGO Knox & Prairie St. Water Mains 800,000 FY 2025 PAYGO Henderson St. & Lincoln Pk Water Main 750,000 FY 2025 PAYGO Equipment Purchases 50,000 FY 2024 PAYGO Transmission Line - Design 150,000 FY 2024 PAYGO Grand Avenue Watermain Replacement 3,000,000 FY 2024 IEPA Loan Equipment Purchases 120,000 FY 2025 PAYGO Ranney Well Inspection 35,000 FY 2025 PAYGO Transmission Line - Construction 3,000,000 FY 2026 IEPA Loan Water System Revenue Requirements Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 13 In addition to the above projects, the City plans water main replacement projects of $245,000 each year and miscellaneous water capital projects of $60,000 each year, each being PAYGO funded. The City’s FY 2020 through FY 2030 CIP is included in the rate study model. Exhibit 2-6 shows the annual variation of the City’s planned CIP spending and the funding source assumed to develop the study’s financial projections. Exhibit 2-6 Ten-Year Capital Plan Summary by Funding Source In addition to the projects detailed in Table 2-5, the study assumes that the City would finance (via IEPA loans) two additional transmission main replacement projects in FY 2028 and FY 2031, costing $3.0 million and $3.2 million respectively. A summary of the loan financed projects included in the above chart is shown in Table 2-7. Table 2-7 FY 2020 – FY 2030 Debt Financed Capital Projects Project Cost Year New Automatic Meters $3,000,000 FY 2022 Grand Avenue Watermain Replacement $3,000,000 FY 2024 Transmission Line - Construction $3,000,000 FY 2026 Transmission Line - Construction $3,000,000 FY 2028 Transmission Line - Construction $3,200,000 FY 2031 The financial plan and rates developed during the study are projected to fully recover the cost of the above stated capital plan, including all cash outlays and additional debt service. The additional debt service projected for the loan financed projects is detailed in the next section of this report. $3.40 $1.36 $4.22 $3.76 $3.51 $2.01 $4.99 $0.67 $3.72 $0.54 $0.46 $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030Millions Cash Funded Projects Debt Funded Projects Average Capital Spending: $2.6 Million Section 2 14 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times New Total Debt Service Projections The loan funded projects described in the previous section will result in debt payments that will need to be paid by the City’s water utility. The total projected debt service built into the study’s financial plan are shown in Exhibit 2-8. Exhibit 2-8 Total Water Debt Service Projections The projected debt service payments shown above are fully funded in the financial plan and recommended rates contained within this report. Debt Service Coverage Ratio An important metric that should be evaluated when determining the financial prudence of issuing new debt is a system’s Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR). A system’s DSCR is the ratio of the system’s annual debt service payment to its annual revenues net of operating expenses. The standard debt service coverage ratio that is considered sufficient is 1.20, however utilities with the highest credit ratings often maintain debt service coverage ratios above 2.703. The City’s DSCR projections given the capital financing assumptions included in the study are shown in Table 2-9 below. 3 Barnes, Glenn. “Key Financial Indicators for Water and Wastewater Systems: Debt Service Coverage Ratio.” UNC Environmental Science Center - The Environmental Finance Blog [Chapel Hill, NC], 23 Apr. 2015, efc.web.unc.edu/2015/04/23/debt-service-coverage-ratio. $1.38 $1.37 $1.38 $1.51 $1.58 $1.78 $1.78 $1.99 $1.99 $2.19 $2.19 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030Millions Existing Debt Service New Debt Service Water System Revenue Requirements Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 15 Table 2-9 Projected Debt Service Coverage Ratio – Current and Recommended Rates FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Existing Debt Service $1,380,749 $1,371,149 $1,380,199 $1,378,699 $1,376,099 $1,379,724 New Debt Service - - - 134,431 201,647 403,294 Total Projected Debt Service $1,380,749 $1,371,149 $1,380,199 $1,513,131 $1,577,747 $1,783,019 DSCR at FY 2020 Rates 1.76 1.67 1.62 1.41 1.29 1.08 Under the City’s current FY 2020 water rates, the City’s annual revenues would not be able to support the proposed capital plan while maintaining a sufficient DSCR. There must be a balance between meeting key financial performance metrics such as DSCR and the impact on the City’s water customers. The financial plan and rates developed as a part of this study support the capital plan and maintain a favorable DSCR of 1.50 or greater even with the increases in debt service due to the City’s capital improvement plan. Maintaining a DSCR above 1.50 reflects a sustainable debt financing plan that does unduly increase the City’s water rates. Miscellaneous Non-Rate Revenues The City accounts for certain Water Fund revenues that are unrelated to the various retail, wholesale, and fire protection rates and fees charged to customers. These non-rate revenues may be highly volatile from year to year, and the City only budgets for a conservative amount each year. In order to determine the annual revenue needs of the water system, these non-rate revenues need to be taken into account. There are two key non-rate revenues that NewGen investigated as a part of the study – the billing fee charged by the City to the Galesburg Sanitary District and the City’s estimated Delinquent Turn On Fees. Galesburg Sanitary District Billing Agreement One key non-rate revenue source for the City’s Water Fund is the fee the City charges the Galesburg Sanitary District (GSD). The City contracts with the Sanitary District to collect the District’s charges on City utility bills and remits payment to the Sanitary District, less an administrative. Currently, the fee is 3.0% of Sanitary District revenues collected. There are various methods used to identify a cost basis for such arrangements. One methodology is to estimate the cost of staff time, materials, postage, etc. that is needed to process payments to the Sanitary District and to provide customer service for billing questions. In 2017, the City developed an estimated annual cost of providing billing services for the GSD. NewGen projected the 2017 costs into future dollars for the purpose of calculating the current cost of this service provided by the City. Table 2-10 provides a detailed breakdown of the City’s billing costs. Section 2 16 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table 2-10 Projected Sanitary District Billing Cost FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Finance Personnel $262,995 $266,940 $270,944 $275,008 $279,133 $283,320 Water Personnel $491,844 $499,222 $506,710 $514,311 $522,026 $529,856 Five Vehicles (Meter reading) $10,457 $10,614 $10,773 $10,934 $11,098 $11,265 Radio Read Meters (MXUs) $89,928 $91,277 $92,646 $94,036 $95,447 $96,878 Springbrook Maintenance $18,093 $18,365 $18,640 $18,920 $19,204 $19,492 Copier (20%) $345 $350 $356 $361 $366 $372 Postage (Monthly Billing) $67,373 $68,384 $69,409 $70,451 $71,507 $72,580 Statements $4,606 $4,675 $4,745 $4,817 $4,889 $4,962 NeoPost Equipment $1,669 $1,694 $1,719 $1,745 $1,771 $1,798 PO Box Rental $328 $333 $338 $343 $348 $354 Total Annual Cost $947,639 $961,854 $976,282 $990,926 $1,005,790 $1,020,877 One Third of Annual Cost $315,880 $320,618 $325,427 $330,309 $335,263 $340,292 GSD Monthly Cost $26,323 $26,718 $27,119 $27,526 $27,939 $28,358 Average # of Monthly GSD Bills 12,229 12,229 12,229 12,229 12,229 12,229 Monthly Cost per GSD Bill $2.15 $2.18 $2.22 $2.25 $2.28 $2.32 The total annual cost is for the water system as a whole. This total is divided by three to account for the fact that the water bill includes three distinct charges – water, refuse, and sanitary sewer. The one third amount represents the annual cost to the City of providing billing services to each utility included on its bills. NewGen recommends that the City engage the Galesburg Sanitary District regarding an increase in the fee paid to the City. It should be noted that the customer base of the City water system and the GSD are largely the same – therefore, any increase in the fee charged by the City to the GSD will ultimately end up in the money being collected by the same customers. Therefore, NewGen is recommending only to increase the GSD fee to 5.0% of revenues from 3.0% of revenues. It is estimated that this will generate $50,000 more in revenue each year. The projections in this report include the assumption that the fees charged to the GSD will increase by $50,000 in FY 2022 and remain at the FY 2022 level for the remainder of the projection period. Delinquent Turn On Fees It is typical for a water utility to charge for Turn On service – that is, the cost of sending a utility worker to a customer’s property to physically turn on water service to that customer. The City’s currently charges a one time, non-refundable Turn On fee of $27.00 for new water accounts at the time each account is established. The City considers a water account delinquent if there is an unpaid previous balance and an unpaid current charges balance for services after the due date listed on a customer’s monthly bill. If Water System Revenue Requirements Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 17 delinquent, a fee of $55.00 is added to the account and the customer’s water service is discontinued. The account balance, including the $55.000 Delinquent Turn On Fee must be paid in full to restore the customer’s water service. The City collected $239,195 in Delinquent Turn On Fees in 2019. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the City instituted a moratorium on delinquent water account turn offs, and therefore did not collect Delinquent Turn On Fees for a majority of FY 2020. It is estimated that the City’s FY 2020 Delinquent Turn On Fee revenue will be $76,000. At the time of this report, the COVID-19 pandemic continues, and the City estimates that Delinquent Turn On Fee revenue will remain lower than it has been historically. FY 2021 through FY 2030 estimated Delinquent Turn On Fee revenue is included in the study at $90,000 per year. Projected Miscellaneous Non-Rate Revenues The following Table 2-11 shows the revenues that are credited to the water utility but are not dependent on the rates charged to the systems users. Table 2-11 Water System Non-Rate Revenues Actual FY 2019 Adopted FY 2020 Request FY 2021 Projected FY 2022 Projected FY 2023 Projected FY 2024 Projected FY 2025 Interest Income $261,668 $150,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 Unrealized Gain (4,618) - - - - - - Penalties 117,120 118,000 118,000 118,000 118,000 118,000 118,000 Turn-On-Fees 45,927 44,000 44,000 44,000 44,000 44,000 44,000 Delinquent Turn On Fees 239,195 76,000 90,000 90,000 90,000 90,000 90,000 Meter Resale 24,696 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 Pop Commission 180 250 100 100 100 100 100 Misc. Revenue 5,396 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 Federal Reimbursements 30,599 - - - - - - Lab Fees 15,640 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 Tap Fees 11,534 10,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 Penalties/Accounting 8,160 4,500 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 Lien Fees 5,731 5,000 5,500 5,500 5,500 5,500 5,500 Sanitary Service Fees 110,173 107,000 110,000 160,000 160,000 160,000 160,000 Misc. Other Revenue 3 - - - - - - Total Misc. Revenue $871,405 $550,750 $446,600 $496,600 $496,600 $496,600 $496,600 In accordance with NewGen’s conservative approach to developing future projections, miscellaneous revenues are projected to remain flat throughout the projection period after FY 2022. Section 2 18 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Revenue Requirement Projection Based on the latest available operating, debt service, and capital expense data and the methodologies and assumptions detailed above, NewGen developed a net revenue requirement forecast for the City’s water system, shown in Table 2-12. Table 2-12 Water Fund Net Revenue Requirement Projection FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Operating Expenses $4,615,430 $4,656,735 $4,754,253 $4,853,930 $4,955,816 $5,059,961 Cash Funded Capital 3,403,694 1,360,000 2,220,000 2,755,000 505,000 2,010,000 Existing Debt Service 1,380,749 1,371,149 1,380,199 1,378,699 1,376,099 1,379,724 New Debt Service - - - 134,431 201,647 403,294 Total Rev. Req. $9,399,873 $7,387,884 $8,354,453 $9,122,061 $7,038,562 $8,852,979 Less: Misc. Revenues (550,750) (446,600) (496,600) (496,600) (496,600) (496,600) Net Rev. Req. $8,849,123 $6,941,284 $7,857,853 $8,625,461 $6,541,962 $8,356,379 The net revenue requirement is the basis upon which all rates and fees are calculated for the City’s system. Although the net revenue requirement varies from year to year, the financial plan developed during the study takes a long-term perspective in order to maintain stable rates and sufficient reserves. Before a financial plan can be developed for the City’s system, a detailed analysis of the system’s customer base must be completed. The City’s water customer base defines the number of accounts, units, and metered water that can be charged to generate revenues to fund the net revenue requirement. The next section of this report details the City’s water customers and their use of the water system. Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Section 3 CUSTOMERS AND CONSUMPTION The City has several distinct types of water customers, each with separate, but sometimes related, rates and fees:  Inside City Retail  Outside City Retail  Pipeline Retail  Outside City Wholesale  Inside City Sprinklers  Outside City Sprinklers  Inside City Firelines  Outside City Firelines (with water service)  Outside City Firelines (without water service)  Bulk Water The latest full year of customer and consumption data available for the study is FY 2019. Each subsection in Section 3 details the FY 2019 data used to develop the revenue and rate projections during NewGen’s study. Retail Customers and Consumption The City serves about 12,480 retail customers, both inside and outside the City. The City’s current rate structure includes a monthly Facility Fee and a consumption rate per metered water unit, with a unit being one hundred cubic feet, or CCF (748 gallons). Inside City retail customers make up a majority of the City’s water users. Outside City customers are still retail in nature (i.e. mostly homes and businesses), although they are located outside the City’s municipal boundary. Pipeline customers are a special type of customer that has granted the City easements to run water infrastructure through their property. Therefore, the City charges them a lower rate than Outside City customers that have not granted such easements. Sprinkler meter customers are residential and business customers that have elected to install a separate meter to account for water used to irrigate. The water usage registered by these meters is charged the same rate as retail consumption. The sprinkler meter consumption is also used to calculate a customer’s sewer usage by deducting the sprinkler usage from the retail meter usage. The number of City water customers by meter size is shown in Table 3-1 below. Section 3 20 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table 3-1 FY 2019 Retail Customer Meters Meter Size (inches) Inside City Outside City Pipeline Sprinklers 5/8, 3/4 11,773 204 11 77 1"-2" 313 8 17 32 2"-4" 139 7 1 2 4"-6" 6 - - 0 6"+ 2 1 - 0 Total Meters 12,234 220 29 111 Table 3-2 shows the billable water usage breakdown of the City’s FY 2019 retail customers. Table 3-2 FY 2019 Retail Customer Usage by Customer Type (CCF) Customer Type Inside City Inside City Sprinklers Outside City Pipeline Commercial 321,486 6,278 7,652 8 Residential 670,478 5,135 12,306 2,745 Government 198,869 165 4 1,336 Industry 8,379 - 25,196 - Total Usage 1,199,212 11,578 45,158 4,089 Government water usage is not that of the City of Galesburg. Government usage includes institutions such as schools and universities, the United State Social Security Administration building, Knox County Jail, and similar properties. Water usage of properties owned by the City of Galesburg is accounted for separately, but not billed and therefore not included in the above tables. A percentage breakdown of Inside City retail water revenue is shown in Exhibit 3-3. Customers and Consumption Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 21 Exhibit 3-3 Percent Breakdown of FY 2019 Usage (Inside City) The number of retail customers and the retail usage is assumed to remain constant for the five-year projection period. Wholesale Customers The City provides wholesale treated water service to five municipalities and one subdivision each with separate agreements:  Village of East Galesburg  City of Abington  City of Knoxville  Village of Little York  Village of Henderson  Westport Subdivision Wholesale service agreements are common in the water industry. The City has invested in major supply, treatment, and transmission infrastructure and has the capacity to provide service beyond its own retail system. Wholesale customers have limited access to the City’s system, typically through larger capacity meters. The City provides potable water to these customers, however these customers do not make use of the City’s local distribution system, and therefore do not pay the full retail rate. Currently, the Wholesale customers pay a monthly Facility Fee based on meter size and a unit rate per CCF equal to 68% of the Inside City rate. Table 3-4 shows the number of Wholesale accounts and FY 2019 billable wholesale usage. 27.1% 55.8% 16.4% 0.7%Commercial Residential Government Industry Section 3 22 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table 3-4 FY 2019 Wholesale Customer Meters and Usage Meter Size (inches) Wholesale Customers 5/8, 3/4 1 1"-2" 1 2"-4" 2 4"-6" 3 6"+ 3 Total Meters 10 Total Usage (CCF) 309,392 Other Retail Water Revenue Sources The City has two other sources of water revenue that are retail in nature but do not fit within its retail fee structure. Bulk Water Usage The City makes water available on a temporary basis in two ways. The City maintains a Bulk Water station where City residents can purchase bulk water on an as-needed basis. The City also provides temporary bulk water meters that can be attached to City fire hydrants. These temporary meters are typically used for construction needs. The rate charged in both cases for bulk water is $1.25 per 100 gallons. There is no Facility Fee related to bulk water service. NewGen’s study includes increases in the bulk water fee that are equal to the recommended increase in retail usage rates. The annual revenue generated by bulk water sales is about $10,000, which is small relative to the City’s other service rates and fees. The study assumes that any rate increase adopted for retail rates per CCF would also apply to the City’s Bulk Water rate per CCF. Master Meter The City has a special case master meter agreement with an owner of a mobile home park located within the City. This customer is charged a single master meter Facility Fee of $200.00 per month for a single meter at the point where water enters the mobile home park, which contains 62 units. Metered water usage is based solely on this meter. This arrangement is a special case, and therefore no increases in this Master Meter fee is included in NewGen’s study. NewGen recommends re-evaluating this special arrangement based on the policies adopted by the City Council as a result of this study. Fire Protection Customers The City provides fire protection throughout its service area. A majority of the fire protection is provided to the public via approximately 1,400 public fire hydrants. The cost of public fire protection is accounted for in the City’s retail water rates, as the cost of this service should be borne by the entire retail system. However, the City provides private fire protection to private customers via Fireline connections. A Fireline Customers and Consumption Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 23 is the portion of a water line preceding a backflow prevention assembly (BPA), supplying water to a fire sprinkler system or private fire hydrant. The City’s private Fireline customers are shown in Table 3-5 below. Table 3-5 FY 2019 Inside City Fireline Accounts Meter Size (inches) Accounts 2" 2 3" 1 4" 52 6" 80 8" 31 10" 4 12" - Total Accounts 170 The City publishes Fireline fees for Outside City customers and Outside City customers without Water Service, however there are currently no connections in those customer classes. The number of Inside City Fireline customers is assumed to remain constant for the five-year projection period. Total Revenue Breakdown The percentage breakdown of the City’s 2019 Water Fund revenue is shown in Exhibit 3-6. Exhibit 3-6 FY 2019 Revenue Percentage Breakdown A majority of the City’s Water Fund revenues come from retail rates, with almost half of total revenues coming from residential customers. Non-Rate revenues account for about 11% of the City’s water revenues. It is important to understand this revenue profile when evaluating customer impacts because a change in residential bills many more users than a large change in other fees due to the proportional magnitude of the City’s revenue sources. 18.5% 10.5% 3.2% 48.8% 7.3% 0.5% 11.1% Commercial Government Industrial Residential Wholesale Firelines Misc. Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Section 4 FINANCIAL PLAN AND RECOMMENDED RATES Financial Projections Under Current Rates NewGen developed cash flow and cash balance projections assuming the revenue requirements detailed in Section 2 of this report and that the City does not increase any water rates or fees. This establishes a baseline projection to which revenue increase alternatives can be compared. In order to project revenues under the current water rates and fees, NewGen compiled each rate and fee charged by the City in FY 2020. The City’s FY 2020 rates are summarized below. FY 2020 Retail Rates The City’s current (FY 2020) water rates have two components. The first component is a Facility Fee that is charged on a monthly basis and based on the meter size of each retail customer. This is a fixed fee, meaning that no volume of water is included in this Facility Fee. If a customer does not use any water in a given month, then their bill would consist only of the Facility Fee. Table 4-1 details the FY 2020 Facility Fees for the City’s retail customers. Table 4-1 FY 2020 Retail Rates – Monthly Facility Fees Meter Size (inches) Inside City Outside City Pipeline Sprinklers 5/8, 3/4 $15.91 $31.82 $15.91 $3.18 1"-2" $33.05 $66.10 $33.05 $6.61 2"-4" $66.10 $132.20 $66.10 $13.22 4"-6" $165.35 $330.70 $165.35 $33.07 6"+ $413.40 $826.80 $413.40 $82.68 The second component of the City’s current retail rates is a usage rate per hundred cubic feet, or CCF (748 gallons) that is charged to each unit of metered consumption for all retail customers. The FY 2020 CCF rate structure of the City’s system is shown in Table 4-2. Table 4-2 FY 2020 Retail Rates – Usage Rate per CCF Inside City 4 Outside City Pipeline Rate per CCF $2.50 $5.00 $2.75 4 The Inside City CCF rate is also charged to sprinkler usage. Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 25 FY 2020 Private Fire Protection Rates The FY 2020 private fire protection rates charged by the City are summarized below in Table 4-3. Table 4-3 FY 2020 Fire Protection Fees Meter Size (inches) Inside City Outside City (with water) Outside City (without water) 2" $8.75 $14.00 $24.50 3" $10.50 - - 4" $12.25 $21.00 $31.50 6" $15.75 $28.00 $24.25 8" $19.25 $36.75 $49.00 10" $24.50 $45.50 $57.57 12" $29.75 $56.00 $68.25 FY 2020 Wholesale Rates The rates charged to the City’s wholesale customers are shown in Table 4-4 below. The Wholesale Facility Fees are identical to the Outside City retail Facility Fees. The Wholesale unit rate per CCF is currently set at 68% of the Inside City unit rate per CCF. Table 4-4 FY 2020 Wholesale Facility Fees and Usage Rate Meter Size (inches) Monthly Facility Fee 5/8, 3/4 $31.82 1"-2" $66.10 2"-4" $132.20 4"-6" $330.70 6"+ $826.80 Usage Rate per CCF $1.70 Cash Flow and Fund Balance Projections Under Current Rates The revenue generated by the FY 2020 rates alone cannot sustain the City Water Fund’s annual revenue requirements in any of the next five fiscal years (FY 2021 – FY 2025). The expenses shown in the following charts include the projected operating, existing debt, new debt, and cash funded capital projects discussed in Section 2 of this report. The projected revenues assume that the City does not increase any water rates or fees in any fiscal year. The projected revenues and expenses are shown in Exhibit 4-5. Section 4 26 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Exhibit 4-5 Expenses vs. Revenues Under Current FY 2020 Rates For the past three years since FY 2017 the City’s Water Fund cash balance has fluctuated between $9.3 million and $7.4 million. As of December 31, 2019, the Water Fund cash balance was $9.37 million. If the City were not to raise rates in any of the next five years, then current reserves would need to be relied upon to support the water system’s capital plan. However, the projected cash deficits would nearly exhaust the water utility’s cash balance by FY 2026 as shown in Exhibit 4-6. $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025Millions Operating Expenses Existing Debt Service New Debt Service Cash Funded Capital Projects Total Revenues Under FY 2020 Rates Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 27 Exhibit 4-6 Projected Water Fund Cash Balance Projection Under Current FY 2020 Rates The current revenues generated by the City’s FY 2020 water rates and the City’s Water Fund cash reserves cannot support the projected operating, capital, debt service, and reserve requirements of the water system. Cash reserves can be relied upon in the short term (three to five years) to mitigate large, one- time rate increases, however, incremental rate increases over that time period are necessary to increase revenues so that the City’s water operating and capital needs are met and the City maintains adequate Water Fund reserves. Based on the expenses projected in Section 2 of this report, the City’s water customers and usage detailed in Section 3, and the City’s FY 2020 water rates detailed previously in this section, NewGen’s rate study has determined that revenue increases are necessary to sustain the City’s water system. A key focus of the study is the impact any revenue increases will have on customers – particularly those who can afford cost increases the least. Section 4 28 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Residential Customer Affordability Water service affordability is an increasingly relevant topic throughout the United States. As the country’s water infrastructure ages, the rehabilitation and replacement of water assets continues to cost more each year. Simultaneously, household incomes remain largely stagnant. Therefore, as a percentage of household spending, water service continues to rise. A key focus of NewGen’s study was the cost impact of any recommended revenue increases on the City’s residential, low-income customers. Industry Wide Challenges According to AWWA’s 2020 State of the Water Industry Report, the five most important issues facing the industry are currently:  Renewal and replacement of aging water and wastewater infrastructure  Financing for capital improvements  Long-term water supply availability  Public understanding of the value of water systems and services  Watershed/source water protection Like all water utilities across the country, the City is affected by several, if not all, of these inter-related issues. Utility infrastructure installed decades ago continues to age. Water and wastewater main breaks have become a common daily occurrence. Energy and chemical prices continue to increase, and compliance with tighter federal (CWA, SDWA) and state (Illinois EPA) regulations continues to require more costly and complex distribution, collection, and treatment solutions. The following chart shows the country-wide inflation adjusted increases in three indices tracked by the Bureau of Labor and Statistics: Median Household Income, the Consumer Price Index, and the Water and Sewer Service Cost Index: Exhibit 4-7 – Historical Cost Increases, 2000 - 2018 Index: 2000 = 100; Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Bureau of the Census Median Household Income 146 Consumer Price Index 142100 Water and Sewer Service Cost Index 234 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 Year Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 29 A key focus area of NewGen’s study was the affordability of the City’s water service for residential customers. Prior to the study, NewGen compiled income data from the United States Census Bureau to evaluate the affordability of the City’s FY 2020 rates. There are several assumptions built into the affordability analysis:  The metric used to evaluate the affordability of water service within the City was the United States Environmental Protection Agency’s guidance that water service is “affordable” if it costs no more than 2.5% of a household’s income.  It is assumed that the distribution of income of residents within the City matches the distribution of income of the City’s water users. They City’s 2019 household income data is sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau's American Community Survey.5  The U.S. states of California 6 and Texas 7 have each identified 50 gallons per day per capita (gpcd) as indoor efficiency standards to meet essential needs for drinking, cooking, cleaning, and sanitation. For the purposes of arriving at a round number of CCFs, this analysis used 46 gpcd.  In 2019 the City had 2.14 persons per household 8, resulting in an estimated indoor monthly water usage of 4.0 CCF (46 gpcd x 2.14 persons = 2,953 gallons per 30 day month, or 3.95 CCF rounded to 4 CCF). This is also the City’s actual FY 2019 median inside city residential monthly usage based on actual 2019 billing data. The result of the analysis at the City’s current FY 2020 rates is shown in Exhibit 4-8. Exhibit 4-8 – Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – FY 2020 Rates At the current FY 2020 rates, approximately 19% of the City’s residential customers are either exceeding or approaching the EPA affordability guideline of 2.5% of household income spent on water, assuming 5 U.S. Census Bureau's American Community Survey, Report DP03: Selected Economic Characteristics table. 6 California State Water Resources Control Board. 2018. “Water Efficiency Legislation will Make California More Resilient to Impacts of Future Droughts,” Fact Sheet. Sacramento, CA: State Water Resources Control Board 7 Texas Water Development Board. 2004. Water Conservation Implementation Task Force Report to the 79th Legislature. Austin, TX: Texas Water Development Board 8 https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/galesburgcityillinois,US# Section 4 30 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times that household uses 4 CCF per month. A foundational element of developing an alternative rate structure was to address this affordability issue. Recommended Revenue Increases In order to increase revenues that will sustain the water system, NewGen recommends the following revenue increases for the City’s water rates and fees. The percentages in Table 4-9 represent only the increase in revenues for each rate component, regardless of rate structure. Each rate alternative NewGen developed during the study raises the same revenue. A full discussion of rate alternatives and the specific rate changes and bill impacts will follow. Table 4-9 Recommended Revenue Increases FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Cash Flow Shortfall at FY 2020 Revenues ($445,511) ($1,362,080) ($2,129,688) ($46,189) ($1,860,606) EOY Cash Balance at FY 2020 Revenues $6,571,142 $5,209,063 $3,079,375 $3,033,185 $1,172,579 Recommended Revenue Increases Fire Protection Fees 9 36.03% 76.89% 47.97% 32.43% 24.50% Retail Facility Fees 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Retail Usage rates per CCF 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Wholesale Facility Fees 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Wholesale Usage rates per CCF 10 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Cash Flow at Recommended Revenues ($434,203) ($1,107,933) ($1,622,477) $721,144 ($825,853) EOY Cash at Recommended Revenues $6,582,451 $5,474,517 $3,852,041 $4,573,185 $3,747,331 Assuming that the City increase its water revenues consistent with the table above, the result is that the City is able to fund the system’s projected operating, capital, and debt service expenses while also maintaining the recommended reserves. The determination of which rate structure can be used to generate the above stated revenue increases and cash flow will be discussed in the next sections of this report. Projected Rates with No Change in Rate Structure The City may choose only to increase the FY 2020 rates by the recommended percentages above. In that case, all City rates would increase uniformly for all Facility Fees, Usage rates, and Fireline charges. 9 Fire protection fees are independently developed based on a separate cost of service analysis. The rate plan reflects a five-year phase-in to align the rates with the study’s analysis. 10 Wholesale CCF rate increases vary under different alternatives rate structures. Table 4-9 assumes the City maintain the current rate structure. Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 31 Projected Fireline Fees with No Change in Rate Structure If the City adopts the revenue increase in Fireline charges as stated above without altering the Fireline rate structure to better align with industry standards, the following Fireline fees would generate the revenue sufficient to cover the fire protection services provided by the City, phased-in over a five year period. Table 4-10 Monthly Fireline Rates – No Rate Structure Change Meter Size (inches) # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 2" 2 $8.75 $11.90 $21.05 $31.15 $41.26 $51.37 3" 1 $10.50 $14.28 $25.27 $37.39 $49.51 $61.64 4" 52 $12.25 $16.66 $29.48 $43.62 $57.76 $71.91 6" 80 $15.75 $21.43 $37.90 $56.08 $74.26 $92.46 8" 31 $19.25 $26.19 $46.32 $68.54 $90.77 $113.01 10" 4 $24.50 $33.33 $58.95 $87.23 $115.52 $143.82 12" - $29.75 $40.47 $71.59 $105.93 $140.27 $174.64 The Outside City Firelines and Outside City Firelines with No Water Service customer classes would maintain their rate differential of 2.0 and 2.8 respectively. That is, Outside Firelines would pay twice the rates shown in Table 4-10 and Outside City Firelines with No Water Service would pay 2.8 times the rates in table 4-10. A full discussion of the recommended Fireline rates is provided in the next section of this report. Projected Facility Fees with No Change in Rate Structure If the City adopts the recommended revenue increases in each year from FY 2021 through FY 2025, then the City’s retail Facility Fees would be as shown in Table 4-11. Table 4-11 Projected Facility Fees – No Rate Structure Change Meter Size (inches) # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 5/8, 3/4 11,773 $15.91 $16.43 $16.96 $17.51 $18.08 $15.91 1"-2" 313 $33.05 $34.12 $35.23 $36.38 $37.56 $33.05 2"-4" 139 $66.10 $68.25 $70.47 $72.76 $75.12 $66.10 4"-6" 6 $165.35 $170.72 $176.27 $182.00 $187.92 $165.35 6"+ 2 $413.40 $426.84 $440.71 $455.03 $469.82 $413.40 Section 4 32 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table 4-11 Projected Facility Fees – No Rate Structure Change Meter Size (inches) # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Outside City 5/8, 3/4 204 $31.82 $32.85 $33.92 $35.02 $36.16 $31.82 1"-2" 8 $66.10 $68.25 $70.47 $72.76 $75.12 $66.10 2"-4" 7 $132.20 $136.50 $140.93 $145.51 $150.24 $132.20 4"-6" - $330.70 $341.45 $352.54 $364.00 $375.83 $330.70 6"+ 1 $826.80 $853.67 $881.42 $910.06 $939.64 $826.80 Pipeline 5/8, 3/4 11 $15.91 $16.43 $16.96 $17.51 $18.08 $15.91 1"-2" 17 $33.05 $34.12 $35.23 $36.38 $37.56 $33.05 2"-4" 1 $66.10 $68.25 $70.47 $72.76 $75.12 $66.10 4"-6" - $165.35 $170.72 $176.27 $182.00 $187.92 $165.35 6"+ - $413.40 $426.84 $440.71 $455.03 $469.82 $413.40 Inside City Sprinklers 5/8, 3/4 77 $3.18 $3.28 $3.39 $3.50 $3.61 $3.18 1"-2" 32 $6.61 $6.82 $7.05 $7.28 $7.51 $6.61 2"-4" 2 $13.22 $13.65 $14.09 $14.55 $15.02 $13.22 4"-6" - $33.07 $34.14 $35.25 $36.40 $37.58 $33.07 6"+ - $82.68 $85.37 $88.14 $91.01 $93.96 $82.68 The City has no Outside City Sprinkler customers. Projected CCF Rates with No Change in Rate Structure If the City were to not change the retail per CCF rate structure, then the following rates shown in Table 4- 12 are projected to fully support the future operating, capital, debt service, and reserve requirements of the system. Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 33 Table 4-12 Projected CCF Rates # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 12,234 $2.50 $2.50 $2.58 $2.67 $2.75 $2.84 Outside City 220 $5.00 $5.00 $5.16 $5.33 $5.50 $5.68 Pipeline 29 $2.75 $2.75 $2.84 $2.93 $3.03 $3.13 Projected Wholesale Rates with No Change in Rate Structure The City’s Wholesale water customers would continue to pay the Outside City Facility Fees and 68% of the Inside City rate per CCF, as shown in Table 4-13. Table 4-13 FY 2020 Wholesale Facility Fees and Usage Rate Meter Size (inches) # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Facility Fee 5/8, 3/4 1 $31.82 $31.82 $32.85 $33.92 $35.02 $36.16 1"-2" 1 $66.10 $66.10 $68.25 $70.47 $72.76 $75.12 2"-4" 2 $132.20 $132.20 $136.50 $140.93 $145.51 $150.24 4"-6" 3 $330.70 $330.70 $341.45 $352.54 $364.00 $375.83 6"+ 3 $826.80 $826.80 $853.67 $881.42 $910.06 $939.64 Usage Rate per CCF $1.70 $1.70 $1.76 $1.81 $1.87 $1.93 Customer Bill Impact of Increased Rates with No Change in Rate Structure Table 4-14 shows the customer bill impact for several different types of customers if the City were to adopt the revenue increases shown in Table 4-9 but were not to alter any of the rate structures of its various fees. Table 4-14 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – No Rate Structure Change Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Single Person $20.91 $20.91 $21.59 $22.29 $23.02 $23.76 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $0.00 $0.68 $0.70 $0.72 $0.75 1 Unit 2 CCF % Change 0.0% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% Section 4 34 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table 4-14 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – No Rate Structure Change Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Median Residential $25.91 $25.91 $26.75 $27.62 $28.52 $29.45 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $0.00 $0.84 $0.87 $0.90 $0.93 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change 0.0% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% Family of Four $38.41 $38.41 $39.66 $40.95 $42.28 $43.65 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $0.00 $1.25 $1.29 $1.33 $1.37 1 Unit 9 CCF % Change 0.0% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% Family of Six $58.41 $58.41 $60.31 $62.27 $64.29 $66.38 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $0.00 $1.90 $1.96 $2.02 $2.09 1 Unit 17 CCF % Change 0.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% Large Healthcare $3,966.10 $3,966.10 $4,095.00 $4,228.09 $4,365.50 $4,507.38 2"-4" Meter $ Change $0.00 $128.90 $133.09 $137.41 $141.88 1 Unit 1560 CCF % Change 0.0% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% Large Government $37,566.10 $37,566.10 $38,787.00 $40,047.58 $41,349.12 $42,692.97 2"-4" Meter $ Change $0.00 $1,220.90 $1,260.58 $1,301.55 $1,343.85 1 Unit 15,000 CCF % Change 0.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% Typical Wholesale $27,332.20 $27,332.20 $28,220.50 $29,137.66 $30,084.64 $31,062.39 2"-4" Meter $ Change $0.00 $888.30 $917.17 $946.97 $977.75 1 Unit 16,000 CCF % Change 0.0% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% Recommended Rate Structure Alternatives The first rate alternative that this report will detail is the industry standard approach to calculating the City’s fire protection fees. Regardless of the City’s action on the Retail and Wholesale Facility Fees and CCF Rates, NewGen recommends that the City immediately adjust private Fireline Fees based on the industry standard methodology detailed in this section. Fire Protection Revenue Increases and Rate Alternative NewGen recommends an industry standard approach to allocating fire protection costs within the City’s system. The standard methodology for allocating these costs is detailed in the American Water Works Association (AWWA) Manual M1 – Principles of Water Rates, Fees and Charges (M1). Chapter IV.8 of M1 is titled Rates for Fire Protection Service. The methodology recommended by NewGen utilizes the Maine Curve, developed by the Maine Public Utilities Commission in 1961, that gives the percentage of a water system’s revenue requirements that can be attributed to fire protection service. Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 35 Recommended Fire Protection Cost Allocation Methodology In order to determine the proper dollar amount to allocate to private fire protection customers of a water system, it is necessary to determine the total fire protection costs of the utility system. This is done by using system pumping data in gallons per minute (gpm). These costs are then allocated to public and private fire protection costs based on the customer base of each class of service. Then, rates can be developed to fully collect the costs of providing both public and private fire protection. The data points needed to determine the total cost of providing fire protection are:  Total System Fire Protection Meter Equivalents based on National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) Fire Flow Demand Factors  Average System Water Pumped (in gpm)  Peak System Water Pumped (in gpm)  Population Served (in thousands) The above data points allow for the calculation of the Required Fire Flow (RFF) of the system based on the fire flow requirement formula determined by the National Board of Fire Underwriters (NBFU), now known as Insurance Services Office (ISO): Where P is the population served by the utility in thousands. This value is then compared the system’s peak hourly flow based on actual FY 2019 pumping data. In FY 2019, the system’s maximum pumping day occurred in January 2019 with a total of 8,153,000 gallons pumped. Averaged to a per minute rate. this equates to 5,662 gallons per minute. The total system pumped 2,364,875,000 gallons in FY 2019, equating to a 4,499 gpm average. The ratio of the Peak System Flow to the Required Fire Flow is used to determine the percentage of total system costs that are incurred for fire protection (both public and private). The methodology used to determine that percentage is dictated by the Maine Curve: A graphical representation of the Maine Curve is shown in Exhibit 4-15 below: Section 4 36 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Ratio of Peak Hour Rate (gpm) / Fire Demand (gpm) % of Gross Revenue to Public Fire Protection Exhibit 4-15 The Maine Curve11 The ratio of Peak System Flow to the Required Fire Flow is shown on the x-axis of the chart above. Where that ratio intersects the Maine Curve determines the percentage of total system costs (gross revenue) to allocate to fire protection. These costs are then allocated to public fire hydrants, public fire hydrants, and Firelines based on equivalent flow factors. The equivalent flow factors are derived by taking the Fireline size in inches raised to the power of 2.63.12 The City does not currently serve any Outside City Fireline customers, therefore the analysis shows only Inside City Fireline customers and public fire hydrants. 11 AWWA. 2017. Manual M1: Principles of Water Rates, Fees, and Charges, Seventh Edition. Denver, CO: American Water Works Association. at p. 159 12 AWWA. 2017. Manual M1: Principles of Water Rates, Fees, and Charges, Seventh Edition. Denver, CO: American Water Works Association. at p. 163 Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 37 Table 4-16 FY 2020 Fire Protection Meter Equivalent Calculation Meter Size (inches) Inside City Firelines Current Meter Factors Current Equivalent Lines in Service AWWA Flow Factors AWWA Equivalent Lines in Service 2" 2 1.00 2 6.19 12 3" 1 1.20 1 17.98 18 4" 52 1.40 72 38.32 1,977 6" 80 1.80 145 111.31 8,951 8" 31 2.20 67 237.21 7,255 10" 4 2.80 11 426.58 1,742 12" - 3.40 - 689.04 - Totals 170 299 19,955 Public Fire Hydrants 1,435 N/A N/A 111.31 159,731 The current meter factors are based on the ratio of the current Fireline fee to the 2” meter fee. The updated flow factors are based on AWWA industry standard methodology. Based on feedback from the City Council, we developed a phased-in approach to aligning the City’s existing Fireline meter equivalents with the industry standard in order to lessen the one time impact on these customers. The phased-in meter equivalent plan is shown in Table 4-17 below. Table 4-17 Fire Protection Meter Equivalent Phase-In Plan Meter Size (inches) FY 2020 Factors (Current) Year 1 FY 2021 Year 2 FY 2022 Year 3 FY 2023 Year 4 FY 2024 Year 5 FY 2025 (AWWA) 2" 1.00 2.04 3.08 4.11 5.15 6.19 3" 1.20 4.56 7.91 11.27 14.63 17.98 4" 1.40 8.78 16.17 23.55 30.94 38.32 6" 1.80 23.70 45.60 67.51 89.41 111.31 8" 2.20 49.20 96.20 143.20 190.21 237.21 10" 2.80 87.56 172.31 257.07 341.82 426.58 12" 3.40 140.53 277.66 414.79 551.91 689.04 To further smooth out the impact on fire protection rates, our study assumed a five-year averaging of the system revenue requirement for the purposes of calculating fire protection revenues. This has the impact of smoothing out the rate increases without the variability of the annual revenue requirement. Over the five year period, revenues remain the same in total. The full calculation of the AWWA cost allocation for the City’s fire protection service is shown in Table 4-18. Section 4 38 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table 4-18 Fire Protection Cost Allocation Calculation FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Five-Year Average Rev. Req. $8,151,188 $8,151,188 $8,151,188 $8,151,188 $8,151,188 Population Served 13 30,197 30,197 30,197 30,197 30,197 Total System Pumpage (gallons) 2,364,875,000 2,364,875,000 2,364,875,000 2,364,875,000 2,364,875,000 Average Gallons per Day (gpd) 6,479,110 6,479,110 6,479,110 6,479,110 6,479,110 Average Gallons per Minute (gpm) 4,499 4,499 4,499 4,499 4,499 Peak Flow (gpm) 5,662 5,662 5,662 5,662 5,662 Required Fire Flow (gpm) 5,297 5,297 5,297 5,297 5,297 Maine Formula Ratio 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 Fire Protection Allocation of RR 20.34% 20.34% 20.34% 20.34% 20.34% Total Fire Protection Expenses $1,658,067 $1,658,067 $1,658,067 $1,658,067 $1,658,067 Public Hydrant Equivalents 159,731 159,731 159,731 159,731 159,731 Fireline Equivalents 19,955 19,955 19,955 19,955 19,955 Allocated – Public Fire Hydrants $1,473,933 $1,473,933 $1,473,933 $1,473,933 $1,473,933 Allocated – Firelines $184,134 $184,134 $184,134 $184,134 $184,134 The public hydrants allocation is assumed to be collected in the City’s retail water rates. The remaining cost is allocated to private Firelines based on flow demand factors. Recommended Fire Protection Rates Based on the above calculations, which include a phase-in of fire protection increases, the recommended fire protection rates and revenues are shown in Table 4-19. 13 July 1, 2019 estimate from US Census data, https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/galesburgcityillinois,US/PST045219 Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 39 Table 4-19 Recommended Monthly Fireline Rates Meter Size (inches) # of Connections Current FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 2" 2 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 3" 1 $10.50 $10.50 $10.50 $10.50 $11.25 $13.83 4" 52 $12.25 $12.25 $12.43 $18.11 $23.79 $29.47 6" 80 $15.75 $18.23 $35.07 $51.91 $68.75 $85.59 8" 31 $19.25 $37.83 $73.98 $110.12 $146.26 $182.40 10" 4 $24.50 $67.33 $132.50 $197.68 $262.85 $328.02 12" - $29.75 $108.06 $213.51 $318.96 $424.40 $529.85 The incremental difference between the meter size charges are significantly different year-to-year under the recommended methodology. This is due to the alignment of the Fireline charges with the AWWA recommended flow factors, which has different impacts on each meter size. In fact, some meter size fees are not adjusted until the recommended AWWA meter equivalent impact results in a higher fee. The 2” meter fee remains consistent throughout the five-year period. The above fees represent an industry standard approach to the calculation of private fire protection fees. The revenue generated by the above fees would increase the City’s current fire protection from about $31,000 in FY 2020 to about $184,000 in FY 2025. Although this increase is substantial, the methodologies used to develop the fees is based on actual pumping, population, and flow capacity data. The phase-in also lessens the annual impact on fees. The additional revenue generated by the recommended Fireline fees above would reduce the revenue needed to be generated by the City’s retail water customers. The rates and projections contained throughout the next sections of this report assume the adoption of the recommended Fireline charges in Table 4-19. Section 4 40 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Retail and Wholesale Rate Alternative Scenarios NewGen developed several potential changes to the structure of the City’s retail and wholesale Facility Fees and per CCR rates. Each alternative will generate the same amount of revenue as recommended in Table 4-9. The alternative rate structures have significant impacts on the distribution of City water costs among its customers, however in total revenues remain consistent with the rate increase plan in Table 4- 9. There were several changes to the City’s various retail water rate and fee structures that were developed during the study. They are as follows:  Facility Fee Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee: While maintaining the existing meter size based Facility Fees, reduce the 5/8, 3/4 inch meter fee to $8.00 per month, adjust all other Facility Fees and per CCF rates accordingly.  Facility Fee Alternative 2: Change to a per Unit Facility Fee: Change the City’s Facility Fee structure to a per unit fee rather than a meter size based fee. Per CCF rates are adjusted as per Table 4-9 with no change in structure. All revenue from Facility Fees and Unit rates remains the same.  CCF Rate Alternative 1: Change the City’s per CCF Rate structure to include 4 CCF per account for each customer and charge a per CCF rate for usage above 4 CCF per account.  CCF Rate Alternative 2: Change the City’s per CCF Rate structure to include 4 CCF per unit for each customer and charge a per CCF rate for usage above 4 CCF per unit. This change is only consistent when in addition to Facility Fee Alternative 2. Otherwise, the City would be inconsistent in the manner in which it applies its fixed and variable fees. That is, CCF Rate Alternative 2 assumes the adoption of Facility Fee Alternative 2. This section will detail the alternative methods above individually and show the customer bill impact for a variety of City water customers. Wholesale Rates under Alternative Structures Typically, the rates charged to wholesale water customers are separate and distinct from those charged to retail customers. This allows a water supplier to tailor individual wholesale rates based on negotiated contracts. While Galesburg’s wholesale water customers have separate contracts, the contracts share language regarding the price of water service. All of the City’s wholesale contracts include a statement that the wholesale customer “shall be subject to the rate charged by Galesburg for users outside the city limits of Galesburg.” The City of Knoxville’s contract limits the rate increase imposed by the City of Galesburg to 5.0% per year or the percent increase the City adopted for Inside City customers, whichever is less. These contractual requirements create a direct link between the retail rates and wholesale rates. NewGen would typically recommend a separate methodology to calculate wholesale water rates. Given the contractual limitations on the changes possible to the City’s wholesale rates, NewGen did not calculate or develop any wholesale rate alternatives that differ from the current methodology. NewGen recommends continuing to charge Wholesale customers using the current methodology, with a Facility Fee per unit equal to that of Outside City customers and a reduced per CCF rate. This methodology recognizes that the Wholesale customers do not use a significant portion of the City’s retail system, such as the City’s local distribution system. Wholesale rates depend on the changes in retail rates because of the contractual language in the City’s wholesale agreements. Therefore, as this report details the several rate alternatives described above, wholesale rates will be presented for each alternative. Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 41 Facility Fee Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee Facility Fee Alternative 1 included a reduction in the Inside City 5/8. 3/4 inch meter size Facility fee from $15.91 per month to $8.00 per month in FY 2021. Facility Fees are then increased according to the revenue increases recommended in Table 4-9. All meter size and Inside/Outside/Pipeline differentials remain unchanged. Table 4-20 Projected Facility Fees – Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee Meter Size (inches) # of Connections Current FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 5/8, 3/4 11,773 $15.91 $8.00 $8.26 $8.53 $8.81 $9.09 1"-2" 313 $33.05 $16.62 $17.16 $17.72 $18.29 $18.89 2"-4" 139 $66.10 $33.24 $34.32 $35.43 $36.58 $37.77 4"-6" 6 $165.35 $83.14 $85.84 $88.63 $91.52 $94.49 6"+ 2 $413.40 $207.87 $214.63 $221.60 $228.80 $236.24 Outside City 5/8, 3/4 204 $31.82 $16.00 $16.52 $17.06 $17.61 $18.18 1"-2" 8 $66.10 $33.24 $34.32 $35.43 $36.58 $37.77 2"-4" 7 $132.20 $66.47 $68.63 $70.86 $73.17 $75.55 4"-6" - $330.70 $166.29 $171.69 $177.27 $183.03 $188.98 6"+ 1 $826.80 $415.74 $429.25 $443.20 $457.60 $472.48 Pipeline 5/8, 3/4 11 $15.91 $8.00 $8.26 $8.53 $8.81 $9.09 1"-2" 17 $33.05 $16.62 $17.16 $17.72 $18.29 $18.89 2"-4" 1 $66.10 $33.24 $34.32 $35.43 $36.58 $37.77 4"-6" - $165.35 $83.14 $85.84 $88.63 $91.52 $94.49 6"+ - $413.40 $207.87 $214.63 $221.60 $228.80 $236.24 Inside City Sprinklers 5/8, 3/4 77 $3.18 $1.60 $1.65 $1.70 $1.76 $1.82 1"-2" 32 $6.61 $3.32 $3.43 $3.54 $3.66 $3.78 2"-4" 2 $13.22 $6.65 $6.86 $7.09 $7.32 $7.55 4"-6" - $33.07 $16.63 $17.17 $17.73 $18.30 $18.90 6"+ - $82.68 $41.57 $42.93 $44.32 $45.76 $47.25 The reduced Facility Fees would result in a decrease in Facility Fee revenue of about $1.3 million in FY 2021. This revenue must be recovered by increased CCF rates in order to maintain the financial plan projection recommended in this report. Section 4 42 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Per CCF Rate Impact of Facility Fee Alternative 1 In order to maintain the recommended total system revenue under Facility Fee Alternative 1, the City’s per CCF rates must be adjusted as follows in Table 4-21. Table 4-21 Projected CCF Rates – Facility Fee Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City $2.50 $3.50 $3.61 $3.73 $3.85 $3.98 Outside City $5.00 $7.00 $7.23 $7.46 $7.70 $7.96 Pipeline $2.75 $3.85 $3.98 $4.10 $4.24 $4.38 The large increases in per CCF Rates under Facility Fee Alternative 1 are necessary to maintain revenues consistent with the financial plan developed as a part of this study. Wholesale Rate Impact of Facility Fee Alternative 1 The changes in the Facility Fee and per CCF rates under Facility Fee Alternative 1 would result in the Wholesale Facility Fees and unit rates per CCF are shown in Table 4-22. Table 4-22 Wholesale Facility Fees and Usage Rates – Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee Meter Size (inches) Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Facility Fee 5/8, 3/4 1 $31.82 $16.00 $16.52 $17.06 $17.61 $18.18 1"-2" 1 $66.10 $33.24 $34.32 $35.43 $36.58 $37.77 2"-4" 2 $132.20 $66.47 $68.63 $70.86 $73.17 $75.55 4"-6" 3 $330.70 $166.29 $171.69 $177.27 $183.03 $188.98 6"+ 3 $826.80 $415.74 $429.25 $443.20 $457.60 $472.48 Usage Rate per CCF $1.70 $1.79 $1.84 $1.90 $1.96 $2.03 The Wholesale rate increase complies with the language in the Knoxville contract limiting increases to the lower of the Inside City rate increase or 5.0%. Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 43 Customer Bill Impact of Facility Fee Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fee The combined impact of a reduction in the monthly Facility Fee and the increase in the per CCF rates necessary under Facility Fee Alternative 1 would have the following impact on the sample customers beginning in FY 2021. Table 4-23 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – Facility Fee Alternative 1 Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Single Person $20.91 $15.00 $15.49 $15.99 $16.51 $17.05 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($5.91) $0.49 $0.50 $0.52 $0.54 1 Unit 2 CCF % Change (-28.3%) 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% Median Residential $25.91 $22.00 $22.72 $23.45 $24.22 $25.00 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($3.91) $0.72 $0.74 $0.76 $0.79 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change (-15.1%) 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% Family of Four $38.41 $39.50 $40.78 $42.11 $43.48 $44.89 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $1.09 $1.28 $1.33 $1.37 $1.41 1 Unit 9 CCF % Change 2.8% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% Family of Six $58.41 $67.50 $69.69 $71.96 $74.30 $76.71 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $9.09 $2.19 $2.27 $2.34 $2.41 1 Unit 17 CCF % Change 15.6% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% Large Healthcare $3,966.10 $5,493.24 $5,671.77 $5,856.10 $6,046.42 $6,242.93 2"-4" Meter $ Change $1,527.14 $178.53 $184.33 $190.32 $196.51 1 Unit 1560 CCF % Change 38.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% Large Government $37,566.10 $52,533.24 $54,240.57 $56,003.39 $57,823.50 $59,702.76 2"-4" Meter $ Change $14,967.14 $1,707.33 $1,762.82 $1,820.11 $1,879.26 1 Unit 15,000 CCF % Change 39.8% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% Typical Wholesale $27,332.20 $28,626.47 $29,556.83 $30,517.43 $31,509.25 $32,533.30 2"-4" Meter $ Change $1,294.27 $930.36 $960.60 $991.82 $1,024.05 1 Unit 16,000 CCF % Change 4.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% Although the Wholesale customer’s bill appears to increase disproportionately to the Inside City customers, the CCF rate charged to the Inside City is actually increased by 40.0%, whereas the wholesale rate is only increased 5.0%. The bill impact is due to the reduction in the Facility Fee, which does not impact Wholesale customers as much as small Inside City customers. The nominal rate increases are consistent with the Wholesale contract language. Section 4 44 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Facility Fee Alternative 2: Per Unit Facility Fee Currently the City charges monthly Facility Fees based on each customer’s meter size. As a part of this study, the City requested an evaluation of an alternative fixed charge methodology that was based on each customer’s units. A “unit” is a measure of equivalent demand for each customer. For instance, a 2” meter serving an apartment building may serve 12 units under one meter. The policy of charging per meter or per unit has varying impacts on single and multi-unit customers. While NewGen’s evaluation was focused on multi-unit customers, if the City were to alter the Facility Fee for one group of customers, then we recommend applying the change to all customers. Therefore, NewGen developed a unit based Facility Fee that recovers the same revenue as the current meter based Facility Fees. First, an accounting of the system’s units must be done. The total system units compared to accounts by meter size is shown in Table 4-24. Table 4-24 FY 2019 Retail Customer Meters vs Units Customer Class Accounts Units Inside City 5/8, 3/4 11,773 12,280 1"-2" 313 1,059 2"-4" 139 1,314 4"-6" 6 10 6"+ 2 2 Totals 12,234 14,666 Inside City Sprinklers 5/8, 3/4 77 77 1"-2" 32 32 2"-4" 2 2 4"-6" - - 6"+ - - Totals 111 111 Outside City 5/8, 3/4 204 204 1"-2" 8 8 2"-4" 7 42 4"-6" - - 6"+ 1 1 Totals 220 255 Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 45 Table 4-24 FY 2019 Retail Customer Meters vs Units Customer Class Accounts Units Pipeline 5/8, 3/4 11 11 1"-2" 17 17 2"-4" 1 1 4"-6" - - 6"+ - - Totals 29 29 In general, larger meters tend to serve more units per account. The advantage of charging a Facility Fee based on units is that multi-unit accounts are better accounted for in terms of their reservation of system capacity. Also, under a unit based Facility Fee, it does not matter if the City bills a master meter based on the number of units it serves, or each unit separately. The total revenue generated by a per unit fee from such a group of units is identical. The disadvantage of a unit based Facility Fee is that larger, one unit meters are underrepresented in terms of their reservation of system capacity. If a larger meter does not service multiple units, then its contribution to the fixed costs of the system are understated under a unit based Facility Fee. However, including a per-unit allowance for billable consumption offsets this impact, and generates more revenue from billable water consumption of larger meters. NewGen’s CCF Rate Alternative 1 includes this modification and will be discussed later in this report. NewGen developed a per unit Facility Fee alternative that charges each unit the same monthly amount. The alternative maintains the differential between inside City, outside City, and pipeline customers and generates the same amount of revenue as the current fees charged to those customers. The updated per Unit Facility Fees for5/8, 3/4 Meter Sizes are shown in Table 4-25. All meter size and Inside/Outside/Pipeline differentials remain unchanged. Table 4-25 Facility Fee Alternative 2: Per Unit Facility Fees – 5/8, 3/4 Meter Size # of Units FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 14,666 $15.91 $14.45 $14.92 $15.40 $15.90 $16.42 Outside City 255 $31.82 $28.90 $29.83 $30.80 $31.80 $32.84 Pipeline 29 $15.91 $14.45 $14.92 $15.40 $15.90 $16.42 Inside City Sprinkler 111 $3.18 $2.89 $2.98 $3.08 $3.18 $3.28 Outside City Sprinkler - $6.36 $5.78 $5.96 $6.16 $6.36 $6.56 Section 4 46 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times CCF Rate und Facility Fee Alternative 2 The change in Facility Fees under Alternative 2 would generate the same Facility Fee revenue as the unmodified Facility Fee structure. Therefore, the City’s CCF rates would remain the same as if the City maintained the meter size based Facility Fees. Table 4-26 shows the CCF rates for retail customers under Facility Fee Alternative 2. Table 4-26 Projected CCF Rates – Alternative 2A # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 14 12,234 $2.50 $2.50 $2.58 $2.67 $2.75 $2.84 Outside City 220 $5.00 $5.00 $5.16 $5.33 $5.50 $5.68 Pipeline 29 $2.75 $2.75 $2.84 $2.93 $3.03 $3.13 Wholesale Rates Under Facility Fee Alternative 2 The City’s Wholesale rates would still comply with the contractual language setting the Facility Fee to the Outside City Facility Fee and the CCF rate to 68% of the Inside City CCF rate, as shown in Table 4-27. Table 4-27 Projected Wholesale Facility Fees and CCF Rates – Alternative 2A # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Facility Fee per Unit 10 $31.82 $28.90 $29.83 $30.80 $31.80 $32.84 Usage Rate per CCF $1.70 $1.79 $1.84 $1.90 $1.96 $2.03 Customer Bill Impact of Facility Fee Alternative 2: Per Unit Facility Fee The following Table 4-28 shows the impact of modifying the City’s Facility Fee structure to a per unit monthly fee. Table 4-28 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – Facility Fee Alternative 2 Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Single Person $20.91 $19.45 $20.08 $20.73 $21.40 $22.10 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($1.46) $0.63 $0.65 $0.67 $0.70 1 Unit 2 CCF % Change (-7.0%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 14 Includes Inside City Sprinkler customers Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 47 Table 4-28 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – Facility Fee Alternative 2 Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Median Residential $25.91 $24.45 $25.24 $26.06 $26.91 $27.78 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($1.46) $0.79 $0.82 $0.85 $0.87 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change (-5.6%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Family of Four $38.41 $36.95 $38.15 $39.39 $40.67 $41.99 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($1.46) $1.20 $1.24 $1.28 $1.32 1 Unit 9 CCF % Change (-3.8%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Family of Six $58.41 $56.95 $58.80 $60.71 $62.68 $64.72 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($1.46) $1.85 $1.91 $1.97 $2.04 1 Unit 17 CCF % Change (-2.5%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Large Healthcare $3,966.10 $3,914.45 $4,041.67 $4,173.02 $4,308.64 $4,448.67 2"-4" Meter $ Change ($51.65) $127.22 $131.35 $135.62 $140.03 1 Unit 1560 CCF % Change (-1.3%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Large Government $37,566.10 $37,514.45 $38,733.67 $39,992.51 $41,292.27 $42,634.27 2"-4" Meter $ Change ($51.65) $1,219.22 $1,258.84 $1,299.76 $1,342.00 1 Unit 15,000 CCF % Change (-0.1%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Typical Wholesale $27,332.20 $27,228.90 $28,113.83 $29,027.53 $29,970.93 $30,944.98 2"-4" Meter $ Change ($103.30) $884.94 $913.70 $943.39 $974.05 1 Unit 16,000 CCF % Change (-0.4%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Although it appears that all customer bills would decrease in FY 2021, the increased costs would be to customers with more than one unit. CCF Rate Alternative 1: 4 CCF Allowance per Account Affordability of water service for small users is an increasingly becoming a concern for water utilities. One way to target small water users, who tend to be single person or small family households, is to provide water service of a certain level at a reduced cost or at no cost. The reduced cost is sometimes called a “lifeline rate”. To provide water at no cost is typically called a “minimum allowance” or simple an “allowance”. The alternative developed for the City as a part of NewGen’s study is a 4 CCF allowance per account. That is, each account would not pay for the first 4 CCFs of water consumption each month. All customers at or below 4 CCF per month would only pay the monthly Facility Fee. Of course, this means that the monthly billable CCFs of the City’s customer base will be reduced. Therefore, in order to produce the same amount of CCF rate revenue, the rate charged per CCF over the 4 CCF allowance must increase. Table 4-29 shows the breakdown of usage assuming the City does not bill any customer for the first 4 CCF of water consumption. Section 4 48 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Table 4-29 FY 2021 Estimated Retail Customer Usage – 4 CCF Allowance per Account Inside City 15 Outside City Pipeline Wholesale Totals % of Total Up to 4 CCF per Account 411,704 7,128 836 437 420,105 27% Over 4 CCF per Account 799,086 38,176 3,253 308,955 1,149,470 73% Total Usage 1,210,790 45,304 4,089 309,392 1,569,575 100% CCF Rates under CCF Rate Alternative 1 Table 4-28 shows that about 27% of the system’s usage would not be billed under CCF Rate Alternative 1. Therefore, the per CCF rate applied to usage above 4 CCF per account per month will be higher than the projected rate under the current per CCF structure. Table 4-30 shows the CCF rates necessary to support the system if the City were to adopt a 4 CCF allowance per account per month. Table 4-30 Projected CCF Rates under CCF Rate Alternative 1: 4 CCF Allowance per Account # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 16 12,234 $2.50 $3.71 $3.83 $3.96 $4.09 $4.22 Outside City 220 $5.00 $7.43 $7.67 $7.92 $8.18 $8.44 Pipeline 29 $2.75 $4.09 $4.22 $4.36 $4.50 $4.64 Wholesale 10 $1.70 $1.79 $1.84 $1.90 $1.96 $2.03 The CCF rates above generate the same revenue as the CCF rates under the current rate structure when applied to usage above 4 CCF per month per account. Customer Bill Impact of CCF Rate Alternative 1: 4 CCF Allowance per Account The table below assumes that the City maintain its current Facility Fee structure and increase Facility Fees consistent with the financial plan in this report. Table 4-31 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – CCF Rate Alternative 1 Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Single Person $20.91 $15.91 $16.43 $16.96 $17.51 $18.08 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($5.00) $0.52 $0.53 $0.55 $0.57 1 Unit 2 CCF % Change (-23.9%) 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15 Includes Inside City Sprinkler usage 16 Includes Inside City Sprinkler customers Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 49 Table 4-31 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – CCF Rate Alternative 1 Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Median Residential $25.91 $15.91 $16.43 $16.96 $17.51 $18.08 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($10.00) $0.52 $0.53 $0.55 $0.57 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change (-38.6%) 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% Family of Four $38.41 $34.48 $35.60 $36.76 $37.95 $39.19 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($3.93) $1.12 $1.16 $1.19 $1.23 1 Unit 9 CCF % Change (-10.2%) 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% Family of Six $58.41 $64.19 $66.28 $68.43 $70.66 $72.95 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $5.78 $2.09 $2.15 $2.22 $2.30 1 Unit 17 CCF % Change 9.9% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% Large Healthcare $3,966.10 $5,845.21 $6,035.18 $6,231.33 $6,433.84 $6,642.94 2"-4" Meter $ Change $1,879.11 $189.97 $196.14 $202.52 $209.10 1 Unit 1560 CCF % Change 47.4% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% Large Government $37,566.10 $55,762.49 $57,574.77 $59,445.95 $61,377.95 $63,372.73 2"-4" Meter $ Change $18,196.39 $1,812.28 $1,871.18 $1,931.99 $1,994.78 1 Unit 15,000 CCF % Change 48.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% Typical Wholesale $27,332.20 $28,685.06 $29,617.32 $30,579.89 $31,573.73 $32,599.88 2"-4" Meter $ Change $1,352.86 $932.26 $962.56 $993.85 $1,026.15 1 Unit 16,000 CCF % Change 4.9% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% The inclusion of 4 CCF per month has the impact of reducing the total water bill for small users of the City’s system. However, the impact on large water users is disproportionately higher due to the increased per CCF rate for usage above 4 CCF per month. Large water users will exceed 4 CCF quickly and pay the higher per CCF rate on most of their monthly usage. Similarly to the reduced Facility Fee option, this alternative disproportionately impacts Inside City customers when compared to Wholesale customers, but the nominal rate increases are consistent with the Wholesale agreements. CCF Rate Alternative 2: Per Unit Facility Fee and 4 CCF Allowance per Unit Should the City adopt the Facility Fee Alternative 2, then there would be a consistent basis to apply a CCF allowance per Unit for each account. The current Facility Fee structure does not account for the number of units behind each meter – therefore, an allowance for usage per unit would not be appropriate. Facility Fee Alternative 2 accounts for the number of units behind each meter, and therefore a per unit allowance would account for the fixed portion of each customer’s bill in a consistent manner. NewGen developed a CCF rate alternative that includes a four (4) CCF allowance per unit for all customers. Usage over the 4 CCF per unit allowance would be charged at a flat rate per CCF. Section 4 50 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times CCF Rates under CCF Rate Alternative 2 If the City adopts Facility Fee Alternative 2, then there would be an opportunity to develop a per Unit CCF allowance for each account. NewGen developed an alternative unit rate structure that provides an allowance for usage included in the monthly per unit Facility Fee. This allowance is allocated on a per Unit basis, so that all customers are treated equally. NewGen developed the allowance based on the median inside and outside City residential usage, which is four (4) CCF per month. Table 4-32 FY 2021 Estimated Retail Customer Usage – 4 CCF Allowance per Unit Inside City 17 Outside City Pipeline Wholesale Totals % of Total Up to 4 CCF per Unit 478,502 7,886 836 437 487,661 31% Over 4 CCF per Unit 732,288 37,418 3,253 308,955 1,081,914 69% Total Usage 1,210,790 45,304 4,089 309,392 1,569,575 100% Because there are more Units than there are Accounts, a larger percentage of the City’s usage falls under 4 CCFs per Unit than under 4 CCFs per account. Table 4-31 shows the per unit percentage to be 31%, which is 4% higher than the usage under 4 CCF per Account from CCF Rate Alternative 1. Therefore, per CCF rate must be even higher under CCF Rate Alternative 2. NewGen’s CCF Rate Alternative 2 rate design assumes that each water account will not be charged for the first 4 CCF per unit each month. Each CCF above the minimum amount would be charged at the following rates shown in Table 4-33. Table 4-33 CCF Rates Alternative 2: 4 CCF Allowance per Unit # of Customers FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 18 12,234 $2.50 $4.03 $4.16 $4.29 $4.43 $4.58 Outside City 220 $5.00 $8.05 $8.32 $8.59 $8.87 $9.15 Pipeline 29 $2.75 $4.43 $4.57 $4.72 $4.88 $5.03 Wholesale 10 $1.70 $1.79 $1.84 $1.90 $1.96 $2.03 The revenues generated by the rates above is identical to the projections under the current rate structure. Customer Bill Impact of CCF Rate Alternative 2 The CCF Rate Alternative 2 is only recommended if the City also chooses to apply Facility Fees on a per unit basis. Therefore, the bill impacts shown in Table 4-34 include both Facility Fee Alternative 2 and CCF Rate Alternative 2 impacts. 17 Includes Inside City Sprinkler usage 18 Includes Inside City Sprinkler customers Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 51 Table 4-34 Projected Monthly Customer Bills – CCF Rate Alternative 2 Sample Customer FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Single Person $20.91 $14.45 $14.92 $15.40 $15.90 $16.42 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($6.46) $0.47 $0.48 $0.50 $0.52 1 Unit 2 CCF % Change (-30.9%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Median Residential $25.91 $14.45 $14.92 $15.40 $15.90 $16.42 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($11.46) $0.47 $0.48 $0.50 $0.52 1 Unit 4 CCF % Change (-44.2%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Family of Four $38.41 $34.58 $35.71 $36.87 $38.06 $39.30 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change ($3.83) $1.12 $1.16 $1.20 $1.24 1 Unit 9 CCF % Change (-10.0%) 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Family of Six $58.41 $66.80 $68.97 $71.21 $73.52 $75.91 5/8, 3/4 Meter $ Change $8.39 $2.17 $2.24 $2.31 $2.39 1 Unit 17 CCF % Change 14.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Large Healthcare $3,966.10 $6,280.54 $6,484.66 $6,695.41 $6,913.01 $7,137.68 2"-4" Meter $ Change $2,314.44 $204.12 $210.75 $217.60 $224.67 1 Unit 1560 CCF % Change 58.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Large Government $37,566.10 $60,404.11 $62,367.24 $64,394.18 $66,486.99 $68,647.81 2"-4" Meter $ Change $22,838.01 $1,963.13 $2,026.93 $2,092.81 $2,160.83 1 Unit 15,000 CCF % Change 60.8% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Typical Wholesale $27,332.20 $28,581.76 $29,510.66 $30,469.76 $31,460.02 $32,482.47 2"-4" Meter $ Change $1,249.56 $928.91 $959.10 $990.27 $1,022.45 1 Unit 16,000 CCF % Change 4.6% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Similarly to the reduced Facility Fee option, this alternative disproportionately impacts Inside City customers when compared to Wholesale customers, but the nominal rate increases are consistent with the Wholesale agreements. Cash Flow Under Recommended Revenue Increases Each of the proposed rate alternatives discussed previously result in approximately the same amount of revenue each year. Therefore, the financial projections are identical for each scenario, assuming that the City increases revenues consistent with the financial plan in Table 4-9. Exhibit 4-35 shows the projected expenses and revenues under the proposed revenue increase plan. Section 4 52 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Exhibit 4-35 Expenses vs. Revenues Under Recommended Rate Increases Although the revenues projected in FY 2021 through FY 2025 do not fully fund the annual revenue requirement in most years, the City’s Water Fund cash reserves are sufficient to support the system as revenues are increases incrementally over the five year projection. The phasing in of revenue increases by supporting the system with existing reserves allows the City to slowly increase water revenues over time rather than all at once. This reduces the one-time cost increase on customers. Exhibit 4-36 shows the City’s historical cash balance based on the City’s FY 2017 through FY 2019 financial statements and projected cash balance of the City’ water fund under the recommended revenue increases. $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025Millions Operating Expenses Existing Debt Service New Debt Service PAYGO Capital Projects Total Revenues (FY 2020 Rates)Total Revenues (Financial Plan) Financial Plan and Recommended Rates Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 53 Exhibit 4-36 Projected Water Utility Cash Balance Under Recommended Rates The City’s Water Fund cash reserves can support the system during the revenue increase phase in period of FY 2021 through FY 2025. $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 Actual FY 2017 Actual FY 2018 Actual FY 2019 Projected FY 2020 Projected FY 2021 Projected FY 2022 Projected FY 2023 Projected FY 2024 Projected FY 2025 Projected FY 2026Millions End of Year Water Cash Balance Minimum Recommended Cash Balance Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Section 5 CUSTOMER AFFORDABILITY IMPACTS AND BILL COMPARISONS A major consideration when developing any utility financial plan is the impact on the system’s customer bills. The recommendations detailed in this report will result in revenue increases, and therefore cost increases to many of the system’s customers. This section will outline the impact on the system’s customers and a comparison the total customer bill as compared to surrounding utilities. Each chart in this section assumes a customer with a 5/8, 3/4” meter, 1 Unit, and 4 CCF usage per month. Residential Customer Affordability Impact The impact on low income City water customers of the alternative rate structure is shown below in Exhibit 5-2. The usage and income assumptions remain the same as the analysis of the City’s current FY 2020 rates. Exhibit 5-1 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – FY 2020 Rates As previously stated, the analysis estimates that a significant proportion of the City’s water customer base is exceeding or approaching the EPA guideline of unaffordable water service. Each alternative rate structure developed during the study addresses this issue for most of the City’s low water users. Exhibit 5-2 shows the result of the affordability analysis assuming the City adopt only Facility Fee Alternative 1: Reduced Facility Fees. Customer Affordability Impacts and Bill Comparisons Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 55 Exhibit 5-2 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – FY 2021 Facility Fee Alternative 1 While Facility Fee Alternative 1 does reduce the cost burden on a median Residential customer, customers with a household income less than $10,000 per year are still nearing the EPA unaffordability guideline of 2.5% of household income spent on water service. Exhibit 5-3 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – FY 2021 Facility Fee Alternative 2 Facility Fee Alternative 2, which would charge all customers a per unit Facility Fee, does little to reduce the cost burden on the City’s lowest income customers. There is only a 0.18% difference in the cost burden (in terms of % of household income) on the City’s lowest income customers. Section 5 56 Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Exhibit 5-4 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – CCF Rate Alternative 1 CCF Rate Alternative 1, which would provide an allowance of 4 CCF per month to each water account, has a noticeable impact on the affordability of water service for the City’s lowest income residents. In fact, these residents would only pay the Facility Fee each month under this alternative. Exhibit 5-5 Residential Customer Affordability Analysis – CCF Rate Alternative 2 CCF Rate Alternative 2 also includes Facility Fee Alternative 2. By implementing a per unit Facility Fee and including 4 CCF of water usage for each unit, the cost of water service further falls for the City’s median residential customer. Customer Affordability Impacts and Bill Comparisons Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 57 Regional Bill Comparison The following exhibit shows a comparative bill for a median Inside City retail customer (5/8” meter, 1 Unit, 4 CCF monthly usage) in surrounding water service areas. Exhibit 5-6 Sample Customer Bill, 5/8” Meter, 1 Unit, 4 CCF Monthly Usage While regional comparisons may provide some context, the ranking of individual customer bills is not a consideration when developing a financial plan and rate structure. The City’s cash needs are independent of the rates in the surrounding jurisdictions, and this comparison is provided for information only. $6.03 $12.52 $16.02 $16.53 $17.10 $20.01 $20.02 $20.16 $20.78 $26.16 $28.72 $37.04 $40.87 $14.45 $15.91 $22.00 $24.45 $25.91 $26.75 Average, $21.65 $- $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 Canton Abingdon Galesburg (CCF Rate Alt. 2 FY 2021) Galesburg (CCF Rate Alt. 1 FY 2021) Knoxville Aqua - Oak Run Moline Illinois American Water - Pekin Illinois American Water - Peoria / Sterling/Alton Macomb Rock Island Galesburg (Facility Fee Alt. 1 FY 2021) Galesburg (Facility Fee Alt. 2 FY 2021) Galesburg (Current FY 2020) Normal Galesburg (Existing Structure FY 2022) Kewanee Monmouth Windwood Water (Westport) Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Section 6 LONG TERM FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS This report details the short term, five-year impacts of the various revenue and rate structure options developed as a part of NewGen’s study. It is recommended that the City re-evaluate rate increases based on previous year actual data every year, and re-evaluate rate structures every three to five years as a part of a full rate study. The charts below assume that the City implements the revenue increases shown in Table 6-1 below. Table 6-1 Ten-Year Projected Revenue Increases FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030 Facility Fees 0.0% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% Unit Rates 0.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% Fireline Fees 36.0% 76.9% 48.0% 32.4% 24.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% The projected revenue increase needs are subject change based on future rate evaluations, given changes in cost escalation, customer base, customer demand patterns, and capital financing needs. There may be material differences in future conditions that are unknown at this time. Using the latest data available and the conservative assumptions detailed in this report, the ten-year expense vs. revenue and cash balance projections are shown in Exhibits 6-2 and 6-3. Exhibit 6-2 Ten-Year Expense vs. Revenue Projection $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030Millions Operating Expenses Existing Debt Service New Debt Service PAYGO Capital Projects Total Revenues (FY 2020 Rates)Total Revenues (Financial Plan) Long Term Financial Projections Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 59 Exhibit 6-3 Ten-Year Cash Balance Projection With gradual revenue increases beginning in FY 2022, the City will be able to draw down on reserves in the early years of the projections. As revenues increase to match expenses, the City balances annual revenues and expenses and maintains cash reserves in the out years of the projections. $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030Millions End of Year Water Cash Balance Minimum Recommended Cash Balance Economics | Strategy | Stakeholders | Sustainability Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times Section 7 FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS The following findings and recommendations are based on our analysis and the feedback from City staff and elected officials during the rate study work session held on February 22, 2021. Findings  The City’s water system is well managed financially and operationally.  The City’s planned capital spending is appropriate for the size and value of the City’s system and reflects a sufficient level of investment in the City’s water infrastructure.  The City’s FY 2020 water rates and fees are not adequate to fully fund the future operating, capital, and reserve requirements of the City’s system.  The City’s fire protection rates are not aligned with industry standard Fireline fee calculation methodology.  The City’s cost to provide billing service to the Galesburg Sanitary District (GSD) is higher than the current revenue generated by the City’s fee to the GSD. Based on the above stated findings, NewGen recommends several action items to address the necessary revenue increases and alignment of the City’s water rates and fees with industry standards. Recommendations  Increase water rates and fees by the following amounts in each of the next five years: Table 7-1 Recommended Revenue Increases FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Fire Protection Fees 36.03% 76.89% 47.97% 32.43% 24.50% Retail Facility Fees 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Retail Usage rates per CCF 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Wholesale Facility Fees 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Wholesale Usage rates per CCF 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% Wholesale Usage rates per CCF 0.00% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25%  Adjust the fee charged to the GSD for billing services from 3.0% of revenues collected to 5.0%.  Phase-In increases to Fireline fees over the next five years as follows: Findings and Recommendations Thoughtful Decision Making for Uncertain Times 61 Table 7-2 Recommended Monthly Fireline Rates Meter Size (inches) # of Connections Current FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Inside City 2" 2 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 $8.75 3" 1 $10.50 $10.50 $10.50 $10.50 $11.25 $13.83 4" 52 $12.25 $12.25 $12.43 $18.11 $23.79 $29.47 6" 80 $15.75 $18.23 $35.07 $51.91 $68.75 $85.59 8" 31 $19.25 $37.83 $73.98 $110.12 $146.26 $182.40 10" 4 $24.50 $67.33 $132.50 $197.68 $262.85 $328.02 12" - $29.75 $108.06 $213.51 $318.96 $424.40 $529.85  Evaluate the potential Facility Fee and CCF rate alternatives in this report and, if the determination is made to adopt any changes:  Reach out to any customer or customer classes that may be impacted by the change in rate structure.  Test the new rate structure within the City’s billing software to ensure that the revenue generated by the new fees is close to the projected revenues contained in this report.  Identify low-income customers and programs that may assist them in addressing water service affordability, particularly if the City does not adopt any change in its rate structure.